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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dayuhan who wrote (76698)	2/23/2003 4:56:55 AM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

Hi, Steve, glad to see you back here. The 20 Billion figure works out to a 'Per Capita" of about $780, which is abysmal, and probably not too far off. Don't underestimate the ability of the Paks to rebuild based on refugee capital, or overestimate the ability of our social workers to distribute aid there that goes anywhere but to the Tribal Chief's bank account. I think the locals will only get food from us that is personally handed out by us. The downside of feeding people is that the local farmers then have no market for their crops. What do you think of our efforts right now to fight the Muslim Guerillas in the Southern Philippines by sending troops?--As if I could not guess!---Do you think the local politics involved could cause problems?

To: Dayuhan who wrote (76698)	2/23/2003 5:31:24 AM
From: KLP	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Steven...I wonder if you would be so kind as to comment on the piece that Nadine posted earlier from a blogger named e.nough ... It seemed to make more sense than some things I've seen, and wondered what your thoughts were on it.... Thanks in advance. Message 18615506

To: Dayuhan who wrote (76698)	2/23/2003 3:54:00 PM
From: Jacob Snyder	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 281500

<any chance of keeping Afghanistan from sliding right back into chaos > The roadmap (in this order) is: 1: enforce peace and the rule of law (any law, even Sharia). 2: establish a "good business climate". Use scarce resources to build schools and roads. 3. then, private foreign investment will come in 4. the economy will grow 5. over several decades, the civil institutions that are a precursor to democracy are built. 6. a stable, prosperous democracy is formed. There is no shortcut to this roadmap. Notice, we haven't even begun to do Step One (dismantling the warlord armies, extending the writ of the Afghan "government" beyond Kabul). The most useful "foreign aid" we could give the Afghans (and the 50 other poorest nations) is to end all trade restraints and domestic subsidies on agriculture.