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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (76890)2/23/2003 6:11:13 PM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Building a nuclear weapon, and the means to deliver it, takes a large industrial complex, with a lot of inputs. You can't hide it in Presidential Palaces. You can't hide it in the back of trucks. You can identify it and destroy it from the air.

Jacob, that is just not true, and we know it's not true, not from speculation, but from actual history. UNSCOM had literally no idea of the state of Saddam Hussein's nuclear programs in 1995 before Hussein Kamel defected and spilled the beans on them. You can disguise nuclear programs if you care enough about it, and Saddam has had plenty of practice in doing so. He has no intention of making the mistake of Osirak again! Remember, those Presidential Palaces are measured in square miles. We are not talking about single buildings, but enormous complexes.



To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (76890)2/23/2003 6:43:45 PM
From: paul_philp  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 

Building a nuclear weapon, and the means to deliver it, takes a large industrial complex, with a lot of inputs. You can't hide it in Presidential Palaces. You can't hide it in the back of trucks. You can identify it and destroy it from the air. I like Steve Roger's idea of instantly destroying any site where inspections are obstructed in any way. And a real blockade.


First, it is not true. Read Pollack on how Saddam fooled western intelligence twice. Since the Israeli's blew up his nuclear plant in 1981 Saddam has been working on ways to develop nukes that are not easily detectable. He got close twice.

Second, what would Saddam's reponse be to blowing up his palaces. You are talking about forcing a war without the planning and buildup that gives us such an advantage.

Paul



To: Jacob Snyder who wrote (76890)2/24/2003 5:05:09 AM
From: frankw1900  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Jacob, you are making a fundamental mistake. You are assuming Hussein thinks like you do.

He's not "reasonable."

He would quickly face a popular uprising, where his army and the Iranian guerrillas would be so mixed, nuclear weapons would be unusable.

Wrong. His track record says he would use the nukes. He doesn't care how many of his own people he kills. He never has.