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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Brumar89 who wrote (79607)	3/5/2003 1:36:21 AM
From: paul_philp	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

Brumar89, I have read a fair number of epidemiology studies of AIDS in Africa. In my study of the new science of networks, AIDS is used often the draw out the network architecture of the disease spread rates, infection threshold and distribution. There are 'power nodes' in the network who have unsafe sex with 200 - 500 parterners annually. The evidence for this and agreement around the analyis is becoming strong enough that new strategies are being considered. These 'powernodes' are the driving engine of the epidemic, so if you can get them out of the network, you can actually dampen the pandemic seriously, leaving only local outbreaks which would pop up and fade simliar to Ebola. Some ideas include forming 'swat teams' who map sexual networks to identify the 'powernodes' and then convincing that person to take treatment and start using safe sex. You could turn them into local heros to create the right conditions for them to accept treatment and safe sex. The first approved vaccine should be deployed this way as well. Of course, local politics might interfere and so local forms of preemption might be tried. Dirty needles are A problem but they aren't THE problem. Paul