SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Win Smith who wrote (83397)3/18/2003 3:02:50 PM
From: JohnM  Respond to of 281500
 
Whoops, Win, now that you've posted Krugman, I'm going to be reduced to posting Josh Marshall's somewhat random thoughts.

A strange column from Krugman. The positions he takes are not strange but he's usually buried more deeply in numbers.



To: Win Smith who wrote (83397)3/18/2003 3:14:32 PM
From: Sig  Respond to of 281500
 
>>>>> Just to rouse the rabble some more, here's Krugman talking about direct and indirect costs. Perhaps it's time for some voodoo economics. Oops, I think we're there already, what's the next step beyond voodoo? I will indulge myself in one highlight.>>>
Lets see how we can handle P for Paul. K

<<< By PAUL KRUGMAN
Of course we'll win on the battlefield, probably with ease. I'm not a military expert, but I can do the numbers: the most recent U.S. military budget was $400 billion, while Iraq spent only $1.4 billion.>>>
Does this mean we are spending too much? ENE lost $100 bil of shareholders value, Csco perhaps $250 bil.
Millitary expences are not a direct loss, the Companies with contracts pay @ 30 % tax on income, the workers pay on earnings, the shareholders pay taxes on income. So a great deal of military costs are retuned to the government. And it makes jobs for many people while advancing technology

<<< What frightens me is the aftermath — and I'm not just talking about the problems of postwar occupation. I'm worried about what will happen beyond Iraq — in the world at large, and here at home.>>>
You dont have the foggiest idea of what the future holds and there will be some very positive happenings.
A cure or vacine for Malaria( talk to Ken) - so go right ahead and worry.

<< The members of the Bush team don't seem bothered by the enormous ill will they have generated in the rest of the world. They seem to believe that other countries will change their minds once they see cheering Iraqis welcome our troops, or that our bombs will shock and awe the whole world (not just the Iraqis) or that what the world thinks doesn't matter. They're wrong on all counts.>>>
1. If Bush was bothered by World opinion we would be back to Pre Resolution 1441 with Saddam buying more of the banned long range missiles to hold his chemicals and toxins
2. The countries did change their mind , Japan, Australia, and so will Turkey tomorrow.
3. Shock and Awe was strictly for IRAQ , nobody else- designed the terrify Iraqies into not fighting and perhaps to eliminate SAddam themselves

<< Victory in Iraq won't end the world's distrust of the United States because the Bush administration has made it clear, over and over again, that it doesn't play by the rules. Remember: this administration told Europe to take a hike on global warming, told Russia to take a hike on missile defense, told developing countries to take a hike on trade in lifesaving pharmaceuticals, told Mexico to take a hike on immigration, mortally insulted the Turks and pulled out of the International Criminal Court — all in just two years.
What the H-- are you talking about ? There is no "victory" planned in Iraq for anyone except their own peoples.
The place is a mess with people starving and oppressed- it will be their victory not ours.
What has Global warming got to do with the present conversation?

<<< Nor, as we've just seen, is military power a substitute for trust. Apparently the Bush administration thought it could bully the U.N. Security Council into going along with its plans; it learned otherwise. "What can the Americans do to us?" one African official asked. "Are they going to bomb us? Invade us?">>>
So are we now to trust France, the self-proclaimed leader of the UN who will Veto anything they disagree
with hahahahahaha
Bomb Africa ? Dont go planting any ideas in Mr Rumsfelds head now, Powell has enough trouble already
restraining him. Whut country do yu wanna bomb, anyway?

<< Meanwhile, consider this: we need $400 billion a year of foreign investment to cover our trade deficit, or the dollar will plunge and our surging budget deficit will become much harder to finance — and there are already signs that the flow of foreign investment is drying up, just when it seems that America may be about to fight a whole series of wars.>>>>>
Have you seen the markets yesterday and today?
There are at this moment 50 active wars or armed disputes going on in the world. We have been pretty lax in participating and very selective so far. Our unwavering determination to fight terrorism should provide a reduction in the overall quantity of on-going wars.

<< It's a matter of public record that this war with Iraq is largely the brainchild of a group of neoconservative intellectuals, who view it as a pilot project.>>>>
BS, this war is being caused by one man alone ,Saddam, refusing to disarm per an agreement signed by every member of the UN. Are UN members all neoconservative intelletuals; if so they certainly fooled me.

<<< In August a British official close to the Bush team told Newsweek: "Everyone wants to go to Baghdad. Real men want to go to Tehran.>>>
I dont know of anyone who wants to go to Bagdad today except some crazies like Geraldo
General Franks, 300000 Us troops, 35000 British troops, and 2000 ( or 20000?) Aussies will be there soon enough.

<<<" In February 2003, according to Ha'aretz, an Israeli newspaper, Under Secretary of State John Bolton told Israeli officials that after defeating Iraq the United States would "deal with" Iran, Syria and North Korea.>>>
Thats not for John Bolton to say, its up to GWB , the UN ( you notice we did go the UN with the Iraq problem) and the behavior of those nations from this point forward

<<< Will Iraq really be the first of many? It seems all too likely — and not only because the "Bush doctrine" seems to call for a series of wars. Regimes that have been targeted, or think they may have been targeted, aren't likely to sit quietly and wait their turn: they're going to arm themselves to the teeth, and perhaps strike first. >>>
If you identify any countries with a sadistic dictator as mean and vile as Saddam then let them know the heat is on and its time to change their ways

<<<People who really know what they are talking about have the heebie-jeebies over North Korea's nuclear program, and view war on the Korean peninsula as something that could happen at any moment. And at the rate things are going, it seems we will fight that war, or the war with Iran, or both at once, all by ourselves.>>>>
I am glad you recognize the threat posed by N Korea, thats a good reason to spend the $400 bil on defense
My keyboard is losing power so will stop here
Sig @ runoutofgas.com



To: Win Smith who wrote (83397)3/18/2003 4:24:23 PM
From: Rascal  Respond to of 281500
 
I keep saying that the numbers do not add up anymore.
We no longer can deliniate between Economic, Foreign and Domestic Policy. Now all policies must support the main objective. (We can't go broke.)

The main thing is to get to "factor" those IRAQ "assets"
into the America's economic numbers. Even if it is just a footnote of some sort of "Democratic Peace contra-expense"
Once we subtotal the Iraq "Assets" into the equation, the economy gets a goose and everything starts humming.It is a corporate solution playing to our strenghts (Gigantic Military Power and a one Party Governemnt).

By the way, when American "Contractors" get jobs to build, build,build in Iraq, is it in the Gross Domestic Product?
Should it be?
See what I mean?

I think the reason that these reports and policies come from the early 90's is because they knew the economy was in the toilet then and the only answer they could come up with
was the NEocon-Premption-expansion-thing. It also would allow for a BIG defense budget.

(By the way do you remember that in 2001 Rumsfeld had not presented a Defense Budget at all? He could not get the numbers to add up!)

THey thought George BUsh 41 would have another term and this was on the agenda for Bush 41 in 92to96. Bill CLinton's Presidency was an inconvenient interruption. (Those years were used to destroy his Presidency at every opportunity. Oh for the good old days when we had 8 years to enjoy tabloid politics, splits and the new economy.)

This is why President Bush 43 is so calm. THis has been a plan since the early 90's or generations earlier.

One final thing. I think the arguement is incorrectly focused. This is what allows President BUsh to deflect
attention.

OBL said his anger was due to America Troops in Arabia.
What are we doing? Putting more troops on the Arabian Peninsula. Look at the map. Look at Iraq, SA and Israel.
What happens to the ME balance of Power when we have Hundreds and hundreds of thousands of troops in IRAQ?

Guess we are not worried about OBl. It may be true that ALQ is pretty well buttoned down which makes this the right time to attack the (real) enemy.

Follow the money and keep SA in the picture.

What the Bush administration has been saying (and doing) is
"we don't care if you think we favor Israel. We don't care if you don't want our troops on the Peninsula.

Long before President Bush flipped off the allies, he flipped off the enemies. He know who hit us on 911, who betrayed and who was in what deals. And it was not Iraq. Iraq and Saddam are the McGuffin that gets our troops into the face of those who betrayed the Bushs,and now All AMericansUnfortuntely, we were denied the conservation/conversation/consideration government we voted for. Based on the corruption of the Mass Media we may never be able to do that again.

But what do I know. Selective Perception and all that.

Rascal@ 911changedeverything.com



To: Win Smith who wrote (83397)3/19/2003 12:55:38 AM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 281500
 
Interesting quote from Krugman:

There is a case for getting tough with Iraq; bear in mind that an exasperated Clinton administration considered a bombing campaign in 1998

How about bearing in mind some recent history, Paul? Clinton didn't just consider a bombing campaign, he launched a big one: Dessert Fox. What he considered and decided against was an invasion of Iraq.

Doesn't the New York Times employ editors anymore?