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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (15210)	3/21/2003 3:49:06 PM
From: jlallen	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 89467

It remains to be seen how well it has been planned. Early indications are positive, not negative.... The above setbacks....lack of UN and NATO support don't mean squat since we and the Brits would have borne the military burden to begin with. The problem with Turkey was more serious...but has been rectified by the seizure of airfields in Iraq to compensate. We don't need Turkey any more. Safe overflight routes exist even w/o their cooperation. That risk has been minimized.... SA is also irrelevant. Kuwait is a perfect staging area and Quatar affords a suitable operational center. It would have been better to launch last month....but political considerations do enter into these things and the full extent of French perfidy was not comprehended until it was too late....But, even that is a minor problem....summer will be here soon but most experts agree Saddam's regime will be gone before summer arives.....and in fact, the weather factor has probably been overstated as a reason for delay in any instance....as I can attest from personal experience in the region.... Many military people warn of snafus because any war is inherently dangerous and unpredictable.....but in terms of probability....a breakdown of this campaign based on "poor planning" is extremely unlikely...... JLA

To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (15210)	3/21/2003 7:04:16 PM
From: stockman_scott	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 89467

Turkey, Iran set sights on Northern Iraq BY ROBERT NOVAK CHICAGO SUN-TIMES COLUMNIST March 20, 2003 <<...On Wednesday last week, a special envoy of the president of Iran traveled to Ankara for talks with Turkish leaders. What business did America's enemy (and ''axis of evil'' member) have with America's ally in NATO? The informed suspicion is that they were dividing up northern Iraq between them in advance of an anticipated U.S. military victory. That runs against American war aims. The day after the Iranian-Turkish meeting, President Bush sent a letter to Ankara that, in reportedly blunt language, told the Turks to keep hands off Iraq. As he closed the door on diplomacy Monday, Secretary of State Colin Powell stressed that Turkey had been informed of the U.S. commitment to maintaining Iraq's territorial integrity. Actually, Iraq is an artificial country, created by the British Colonial Office after World War I by combining three provinces of the defeated Ottoman (Turkish) Empire containing antipathetic ethnic groups. Nevertheless, keeping Iraq intact and making it democratic is the first step in George W. Bush's Wilsonian design of transforming the Arab world. A threat from Iran and Turkey would begin multiple reconstruction difficulties even before the shooting ends...>> more at: suntimes.com