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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Biomaven who wrote (8094)4/1/2003 2:17:08 PM
From: Mike McFarland  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 52153
 
<This outbreak is extremely worrying>

...cases leapt from nearly 500 to 1,323 this week
largely because Chinese health authorities officially increased their count
--The infection rate may be very low compared to
typical common colds. And if it depends on the
presence of a second virus--that has to hamstring it.

Maybe it'll peak in a month, then fade away as we head
into nortern hemisphere summer. Or maybe the thing
mutates and attenuates.

fwiw...mortality rates for the 1918 flu pandemic
were very high--at 2.5%, and up to five percent
in India.



To: Biomaven who wrote (8094)4/1/2003 2:19:26 PM
From: Biomaven  Respond to of 52153
 
<SARS>

The NEJM medicine has some free online articles about the first cases:

nejm.org

One of the articles suggested that steroids/ribavirin seemed to have some immediate effect in terms of reducing fever. But there really haven't been enough cases for this to be more than a hint of efficacy.

There's been some discussion of RNA on the Biotech Short thread. ICN apparently claims it (not its sub RNA) has the rights to the inhaled ribavirin - still quite unclear whether that would actually be the preferred form though, assuming it works at all, that is.

Peter