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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ajtj99 who wrote (70605)4/7/2003 12:00:10 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
Time for an update.

QQQ Calls Puts
24 47K 198K
25 149K 263K
26 162K 173K
27 244K 56K
28 127K 13K

Max pain is a tossup 25-26
Call it 25.5
At 26 QQQ would be right on Max Pain
Moderately heavy volume. Max pain has drifted slightly up from 25 to 25-26 tossup.
I think 26 is a more likely target at this point.
Lots of optimism as there are plenty of calls at strike 27-28.
Above 27 we have yet another derrivitive meltup.
Attempts to get above 27 have resulted in sharp pullbacks several times.

INTC Calls Puts
15 20K 28K
17.5 111K 39K
20 97K 12K
INTC is currently hovering near max pain
Moderately heavy volume.
Lots of optimism but that can all be wiped out with a close at 17.5 or below.

CSCO Calls Puts
12.5 59K 52K
15 157K 50K
17.5 56K 3

Max pain is 12.5 and CSCO has been relatively weak.
CSCO above max pain and options resistance at 15 should be heavy.

MSFT Calls Puts
23.75 18K 37K
25 102K 87K
27.5 114K 34K

Lots of optimism at 25 and above
Lots of pessimism at 25 and below
Max Pain is a solid 25
Heavy options resistance at 27.5
I would guess this gets pinned at 25 unless we have another meltup

SPX Calls Puts
850 28K 30K
875 23K 18K
900 39K 13K
925 27K 16K
SPX max pain is hard to pin.
Anything in the range 850-875 is close but 850 is the "technical" target.
Very heavy optimism at strike 900 and 925.
Spoos seem way more above max pain than QQQ.
Last month it was the opposite.
Then a huge rally in the spoos to catch up propelled the QQQ's far above pain.
For the second month in a row we have a divergence but I do not know what to make of it.

IBM
Max pain is 80 and we have been hovering near that spot.
Moderate options volumes.

GE Calls Puts
22.5 5K 21K
25 42K 28K
27.5 49K 10K
Max pain is a solid 25.
We are well above that now.
One of the divergences.
GE was one of the weakest stocks down to the low 20's but has been one of the strongest ones back up.
Substantial options volume (for GE), very heavy on the call side.

C Calls Puts
32.5 8K 11K
35 30K 14K
37.5 27K 3K

just moderate option volume if not a bit on the light side.
What volumne is there is heavily optimistic.
Max Pain is 35
Financials have been strong recently for whatever reason.
Is a surprise rate cut coming?

M