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Strategies & Market Trends : Raptor's Den II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (258)4/18/2003 3:03:44 PM
From: Win-Lose-Draw  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3432
 
rsi(14) never touched 30 during '95-'97.

stockcharts.com[w,a]declynay[d19950418,19970418][pb200!d20,2][iUe1,200,1!Ub14]&pref=G



To: Justa Werkenstiff who wrote (258)4/18/2003 11:45:46 PM
From: KevinThompson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3432
 
I agree completely with the premise of finding impending reversal of VIX using Bollinger Bands as a guide. One thing to notice on the chart (thank you for posting it BTW), is that the reversals come mostly after a sharp breach of either the upper or lower band. Apparently the VIX can hug the upper or lower band and ride it for quite awhile before reversing. But if you get a spike through the band, you can virtually count on a reversal; implying a sharp reversal in the market indexes as well.

Isn't that the most notable characteristic of Volatility Indicators anyway? It's not so important the actual level, as much as it is sharp movement that indicates an impending reversal. Certainly, applying Bollinger Bands to VIX is a good way to monitor for soon coming reversals.