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To: Paul Shread who wrote (491)4/25/2003 11:13:40 PM
From: John Madarasz  Respond to of 4904
 
Paul, I recently saw an indepth analysis of Puetz's crash cycle data that basically invalidated the entire concept. His spectrum of analysis is sooo wide that it encompasses about 80 some % of all dates i believe.

fwiw, it seemed like a very convincing study that was confirmed by several other astro folks.

if i can find the report i'll post it here.



To: Paul Shread who wrote (491)4/26/2003 9:40:47 AM
From: John Madarasz  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4904
 
Hi Paul...

here's that Puetz followup commentary

Subject: Astrologers: The Puetz Window: what's wrong with this picture?

The following is not meant to discredit Puetz, but just to look at his research objectively.

Puetz discovered that all eight crashes occurred (ie Started) six days before to three days after a full moon (FM) that occurred WITHIN six weeks of a Solar Eclipse:

I've looked at just a one year time period for the Research, from 12/99 to 12/00:

1. Solar Eclipse (SE)= 2/5/00

FM after SE = 2/19/00 (2 wks) and 03/20/00 (6 wks)
FM before SE = 1/21/00 (2 wks) and 12/22/99 (6 wks)

2. Solar Eclipse = 7/01/00 + 7/31/00

FM after SE = 7/16/00, 8/15/00, 9/13/00
FM before SE = 6/16/00, 5/18/00

3. Solar Eclipse = 12/25/00

FM after SE = 1/09/01, 2/08/01
FM before SE = 12/11/00, 11/11/00

Examples and Research:

spiritoftruth.org.nz

stocks.internetnews.com

csf.colorado.edu

stockmarketcycles.com

users.rcn.com

Conclusions:

The Solar Eclipse has 2 FM before and after, which means the start of the crash can occur 2 months before and 2 months after the SE.

1. For SE on 2/5/00, the Time period for a Puetz Crash window is then Dec 99 - Mar 00 Full Moons.
2. For SE 7/01/00 + 7/31/00, the Time period for a Puetz time Window is then May 00- Sep 00 Full Moons.
3. For SE 12/25/00, the Time period for a Puetz Crash window is then Nov 2000 - Feb 2001 Full Moon.

Basis this example, The probabilities that we fall within a Puetz Crash window in any given year is more than 80%!! This crash window about covers the entire year and thus may not be very useful.



Have a nice weekend,

Best,

jm