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Strategies & Market Trends : Stocks Crossing The 13 Week Moving Average <$10.01 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ALTERN8 who wrote (12315)5/3/2003 11:45:36 AM
From: Bucky Katt  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 13094
 
When the indexes rally like they did this week, in the face of dicey govt. numbers, the path of least resistance looks to be the long side.
They key is what could cause a reversal, and when?
I am skeptical, and am not playing the indexes, part due to the fact that I have spent about an hour a day on the computer the past week, and partly due to the fact that individual stocks I have in inventory have been doing so well...

Nasdaq ends best week in 10 months

Investors brush aside jobs report to post solid gains



NEW YORK, May 2 — The Nasdaq composite index posted its best finish in 10 months Friday as buyers grew increasingly confident of a rebounding economy. Airline stocks surged after Merrill Lynch said the worst of the industry’s troubles seemed to be over.

ANALYSTS SAID INVESTORS were unfazed by a jump in the unemployment rate and pleased by a jump in factory orders, giving the Nasdaq and Standard & Poor’s 500 index their third straight winning week. The Dow Jones industrials, meanwhile, climbed 128 points.
“Optimism is certainly returning to the market,” said Richard Nash, chief market strategist at Victory Capital Management. “Most folks have been willing to ignore the subpar economic data because most of it has been backward-looking. They know the March-April period was affected by the war.”
The Nasdaq gained 30.32, or 2.1 percent, to 1,502.88, the highest level seen since June 18, 2002, when it closed at 1,542.96. The S&P rose 13.78, or 1.5 percent, to 930.08, the best level since Jan. 14.
The Dow, meanwhile, closed up 128.43, or 1.5 percent, at 8,582.68, following a two-day loss of 48.74 points. It was the highest level since Jan. 17, when the blue chips finished at 8,586.74.

For the week, the three main gauges finished higher, with the Dow up 3.3 percent, the Nasdaq higher 4.8 percent, and the S&P up 3.5 percent. The Dow rebounded from a loss last week.
The Labor Department reported Friday that the nation’s unemployment rate rose to 6 percent in April. Last month’s jobless rate was up two-tenths of a percentage point from March, with payrolls falling by 48,000. April’s reading matched economists’ estimates.
But the Commerce Department said orders to U.S. factories rose 2.2 percent to $329.96 billion in March, following a revised 1 percent fall in February. The gain was larger than analysts’ expectations.



To: ALTERN8 who wrote (12315)5/4/2003 3:05:48 PM
From: James Strauss  Respond to of 13094
 
A8:

I said this Thursday:

Note the blue horizontal line on the chart in the 918 area... There has been quite a battle around there... Stochastics and MoneyFlow suggest an overbought situation... Sometimes you can get a continuation of a bullish move from these levels... For that, we'd need to see the MoneyFlow levels rise...
stockcharts.com[m,a]dacl...

Perhaps the anticipation of President Bush's speech tonight declaring an end to the full military aspect of the U.S. presence in Iraq to a rebuilding/policing presence is giving the market a reason to look past the current weak economic numbers... It's always bullish when the market shrugs off bad economic news... We may be seeing that today... Tomorrow could be the real key to short term market direction... It will have digested the Bush speech and current economic data... It's reaction to all this on Friday should be a good barometer of investor sentiment...

The SPX closed above the 918 area on the trendline...
bigcharts.marketwatch.com.

All major indecies look like they want to go higher... We could be getting one of those bullish blastoffs from the 80++ Stochastics area... Next resistance is the multi year downtrend line in the 962 area... A break through that could start another bull and send the bear on its way...

Jim