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Pastimes : SARS - what next? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (378)	5/2/2003 7:03:12 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Respond to of 1070

I wonder if the world's human population is now at its peak. If Sars gets a grip, that could cut 100 million people out of the total. Russia's population has been dropping, Japan's, and Africa's [AIDS] are in trouble. Italy is well below replacement rate. The Malthusian Population Explosion where humans take over the universe has perhaps already reached its zenith. Like the Globalstar Zenit rocket, which crashed with 12 satellites and put paid to Globalstar's chances of success as originally planned and the Biotelecosmictechdot.com sharemarket boom, which crashed in Y2K when the bug did nothing, it might be all downhill from here for human numbers [though not quality of course]. In fact, I hereby declare the population boom is over! Now it's a quest for quality. No more Sars, no more muscular dystrophy, arthritis, genetic defects [people are NOT differently-abled because they are blind or otherwise limited]. I'd tick the extra brainpower and immune system boxes and take fries with that. Roll on genetic engineering. Mqurice

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (378)	5/2/2003 7:22:02 PM
From: NOW	Respond to of 1070

silly comparisons? Hardly. Silly only to those who don't suffer the risk of dying from malaria. If you were a child born in Africa, you hardly find it silly, silly.

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (378)	5/3/2003 3:14:49 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 1070

x = 10 deaths. Cumulative deaths 26 Feb ? ..5 Mar x 12 Mar x 19 Mar x 26 Mar xx ...2 Apr xxxxx ...9 Apr xxxxxxxxxx .16 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx .23 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx .30 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [actual 372] ..3 May xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [435] Once the 'recovered' are half the cumulative total infected, that seems to be an indicator that the battle is on the way to a human win. who.int Taiwan and China are on that basis the losing places. Hong Kong is almost getting it under control. The rest of the world has cornered it. But it is heading into summer in the northern hemisphere, so Sars was going to take a summer vacation anyway. Let's see how we go in October and through winter. That'll be the test. Meanwhile, on a weekly basis: Deaths for the week. x = 10 deaths. z = early days, fewer than 10 per week. 26 Feb z ..5 Mar z 12 Mar z 19 Mar z 26 Mar x ...2 Apr xxx ...9 Apr xxxxx .16 Apr xxxxxx .23 Apr xxxxxxxxx .30 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxx [120 actual] ..7 May xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [my estimate, total = 150, reduced by 10 from my previous estimate a couple of days ago, but it's still gaining ground]. Mqurice