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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Shread who wrote (44666)5/9/2003 10:36:22 PM
From: nikko_thyme  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
Paul,

Your contributions are excellent and always appreciated.

Nikko



To: Paul Shread who wrote (44666)5/9/2003 11:14:27 PM
From: Nancy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
paul,

you may want to look at this vix chart that goes beyond recent years.

investorshub.com



To: Paul Shread who wrote (44666)5/9/2003 11:45:23 PM
From: Compadre  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 52237
 
Paul,
Playing the devil's advocate here, I wonder how often it did that in the bull years vs the bear years. I have noticed that last year it was above the upper band for 10 weeks in a row.



To: Paul Shread who wrote (44666)5/10/2003 12:50:31 AM
From: eddieww  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
What caught my attention was that the RSI and the fast line on the MACD are at low levels unseen in 5 years, while the ADX, +DI, and -DI are at neutral values. Curious.

I noted this conversation because a little earlier I was looking at a ratio of daily VIX/VIX250LinearRegression, which is also at a multi-year extreme.

The absolute levels of the VIX trend over long periods, as the chart Nancy linked make clear, so that deviations from trend seem more important than absolute values. Something is being signaled here, but what? Are we at an important top, or are we in a new bull mkt? Obviously, in FA terms a new bull from Oct. or Mar. would be unprecedented in the history of financial markets in developed economies. Brave new world?