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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: dvdw© who wrote (17218)6/3/2003 11:23:50 PM
From: t2  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 19219
 
The real large imbalances are getting worse not better, it seems that the game that is being played is to talk the market lower in the face of supply imbalances everywhere.

So true.
That has to be the key; hardly any IPOs and money markets probably on the verge of yielding negative returns. Today's action must have caught so many traders by total surprise. With little supply, imbalances could really launch this thing.

In addition, dollar weakness means stocks could be considered a safer bet than cash/bonds. I had never thought a weak dollar was bad for the stock market ...used to post that idea and was thought to be nuts for thinking that way. An overwhelming number of the experts equated weak dollar to weak stocks...and only recently have I noticed that some are now opening up to the bullish possibility.



To: dvdw© who wrote (17218)6/4/2003 12:35:23 AM
From: Shack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 19219
 
So IMO the bears that are short are just puffing about going long because they are not covering.

Just for the record, between May 27 and June 2 (4 trading days), the Rydex URSA assets have shed nearly 300 million dollars, that's nearly 40% of all assets. the index closed only 11 points higher on June 2 than on May 27 so I would say there is significant short covering.

I think there's more to this rally but make no mistake, bears are finally gettin' it.