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Pastimes : The Justa and Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: marc ultra who wrote (2558)6/11/2003 7:36:17 PM
From: marc ultra  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10065
 
Some extreme bullish sentiment points in recent history and result. This is based on a chart Ruykeyser used to show intermittently on WSW. Data points are certainly not exhaustive and may not be precise

DATE B/(Bulls+bears) result

1/5/73 80.3% Dow down 45% over 23 mos

12/31/76 90.0% Dow down 26% in 14 mos

8/21/87 76.0% Dow down 36% in 8 weeks

In the bubble that ended in 2000 I don't think we ever breached 70% significantly.
I'll pass on interpreting
the importance of the
current extreme number
other than saying it makes me
extremely uncomfortable<g>

Marc