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To: Mephisto who wrote (6931)6/30/2003 10:50:53 PM
From: Mephisto  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 15516
 
The Money Magnet
By BOB HERBERT
The New York Times
June 23, 2003

It's a great time to be George W. Bush.

The president will waltz into Manhattan today for another $2,000-a-
plate fund-raiser, the latest stop on his fabulously successful dining-for-dollars
tour. These are fun events at which the fat cats throw millions of dollars
at the president to reinforce their already impenetrable ring of influence
around the national government.

Mr. Bush is expected to pull in $5 million at this evening's sit-down,
and may ultimately raise an astonishing quarter of a billion dollars for his
re-election bid. During a brief stop Friday at a reception in Greensboro, Ga.,
where he picked up a quick $2.2 million, the president happily told his
supporters, "You put the wind at my back."

I'm sure there's no connection between fat-cat fund-raising and,
say, federal tax policy. But there was some particularly interesting information
about the Bush tax cuts in an article yesterday by The Times's David E. Rosenbaum.
Citing data from a study by Citizens for Tax Justice, Mr.
Rosenbaum pointed out that the richest 1 percent of Americans will
get an average tax reduction of nearly $100,000 a year, while "the tax relief
most people will receive is quite meager."

Half of all taxpayers will get a cut of less than $100 this year.
By 2005, three-quarters will get less than $100.


The middle class and working people don't seem to mind that they've been
blithely left behind. Mr. Bush's approval ratings are way high, so high
they've got the terminally timid Democrats scared to death to
confront the president head on. The man who elbowed his way
into the White House
with a minority of the popular vote is on a roll.


But while these may be the best of times for George W.,
this is not such a great moment for America.

Start anywhere. Tax cuts? Mr. Bush has behaved like a profligate parent
who spends every dollar the family has accumulated, mortgages
everything the family owns and maxes out every credit card
he can get his hands on. At some point in this scenario the children and grandchildren
will be left with nothing but a mountain of debt.

Jobs?
More than three million private-sector jobs have
been lost on this president's watch. People are staying out of work longer and the pay gains
of the late 90's are being eroded. Time Magazine recently asked,
"Why are American workers dying the death of a thousand pay cuts?"

Government services?
Prepare to wave goodbye to Medicare and
Social Security as you've known them. Right wingers have always wanted to cripple
the government's social service programs and now they are racing toward
achievement of that poisonous goal. With the president's tax cuts
bankrupting the government, there will be no money left for meaningful
support of even the most popular social programs.

The environment?
Among other things, the Bush White House
does not like global warming. So it just edits out, eliminates, erases important
references to it in official government documents.
Gas-guzzling S.U.V.'s are good. But in the Bush II White House, global warming as most
scientists know it doesn't even exist.

We've got some waking up to do.

A budget catastrophe is hammering state and local governments
across the country, driving up taxes and fees, and driving out important
government services.
This story is still not getting the attention it deserves.
Some public school districts have had to shorten the school year
because they ran out of money. In some areas medical services
to seriously ill individuals are being curtailed. In some jurisdictions, criminal
offenders are being released from prison early, and some criminal
laws are not being enforced because of a lack of funds.

Because of cuts in the police budget, station houses
in Portland, Ore., now close at night.

These are not topics that will be explored in depth at this evening's
presidential fund-raiser. And you can bet that there will not be any straight talk
about the quagmire we are sinking into in Iraq, or the outlandish deceptions
that the president employed to get us in there.


No, this will be a fun evening filled with the sound of joyous
plutocratic laughter. Mr. Bush will leave with his pockets bulging and the wind at his
back. The reality of life in George Bush's America
for working men and women, and for the poor, will be left
for others to attend to, presumably in
some post-Bush administration.


nytimes.com
Copyright 2003 The New York Times Company



To: Mephisto who wrote (6931)7/17/2003 10:00:09 AM
From: Mephisto  Respond to of 15516
 
Record federal deficit forecast
Dramatic increase over White
House's earlier estimates for this
year


Sam Zuckerman, Chronicle Economics Writer

Wednesday, July 16, 2003

sfgate.com


The Bush administration forecast record budget
deficits for the next two years Tuesday plus shortfalls
lasting through 2008, stoking fears that government
red ink could raise interest rates and damage the
economy.

The White House Office of Management and Budget
projected that this year's deficit will reach $455
billion, $151 billion more than previously estimated.


The deteriorating fiscal picture stems from a weak
economy that reduces the government's tax revenue,
a costly war in Iraq and the administration's tax cut
package recently approved by Congress, officials
said.

In 2004, the White House said, the budget gap will
rise to $475 billion, $168 billion more than expected,
before starting to shrink again as the pace of
economic growth picks up.

Only a few years ago, the government ran surpluses
amounting to hundreds of billions of dollars annually.

The latest deficit projections add fuel to a simmering
debate over the Bush administration's economic
program.


Administration critics warn that massive government
borrowing needed to finance budget shortfalls would
suck up capital and cause consumer and business
interest rates to rise. Higher rates in turn could act
as a drag that slows business and consumer
spending and lowers economic growth.

The administration's projections extend only through
2008. Next decade, though, federal outlays are set to
rise sharply as baby boomers start collecting Social
Security and Medicare. That could make the budget
gap even bigger.


"We are not considering the impact of these deficits
in the longer term," said investment banker Peter
Peterson, commerce secretary during the Nixon
administration and co-founder of the Concord
Coalition, a bipartisan antideficit group.

"I've been a Republican all my life, and we used to be
known for fiscal stewardship. Why is there so little
attention paid to the serious threat to this country?"

Administration officials said tax cuts and spending on
security are more important than deficits.

"Although large in nominal terms and a legitimate
subject of concern, these deficits are manageable if
we continue pro-growth economic policies and
exercise serious spending discipline," the White
House argued in budget documents released
Tuesday.

In an appearance before a congressional committee
Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan
said that rising deficits could push interest rates
higher and slow economic growth. He urged
Congress to reduce deficits by controlling spending.

In absolute terms, the deficits projected for 2003 and
2004 are the largest in history. But they aren't the
biggest when measured as a percentage of the
economy.

Shortfalls this year and next will equal between 4 and
5 percent of the nation's total production of goods
and services. During the Reagan administration two
decades ago, the deficit got as high as 6 percent of
economic output.

Most economists believe that deficits can be helpful
when business conditions are poor. The theory is
that when business and consumer spending is weak,
higher outlays by government can take up some of
the slack.

"They lift aggregate demand and help the economy
grow at a faster pace," said Christopher Wiegand, an
economist with financial services giant Citigroup.

But problems arise when deficits continue year in
and year out, through good times as well as bad.
When the nation is prosperous, and households and
businesses are clamoring for loans, the government
can become an unwelcome competitor for credit.

Beyond that, it's unclear how large deficits have to be
before they significantly affect rates. "It's a gray area
with sharp divisions among mainstream economists,"
Wiegand said.

Economists at the Federal Reserve recently
estimated that a $100 billion increase in projected
deficits would prompt long-term interest rates, such
as mortgages, to rise by roughly one-quarter
percentage point. That's less than the amount
long-term rates have risen since the Fed
disappointed investors a few weeks ago by cutting
short-term rates less than expected.

In its latest projection, the Bush administration
estimated that deficits would fall sharply beginning in
2005, dropping to $213 billion in 2007 and then rising
slightly in 2008. The smaller deficits will reflect faster
economic growth and a winding down of Iraq war
costs, officials said.

Congressional Democrats accused the White House
of underestimating future deficits by discounting
future security costs and including unrealistic
spending cuts. They noted previous Bush White
House forecasts had come grossly short in projecting
the size of deficits.

Despite the politicking, rising federal deficits haven't
become a powerful political issue the way they were
in the 1980s and early 1990s. In the last 25 years,
American politics has gone through a major
realignment: Republicans moved from a
balanced-budget to a tax-cutting agenda.

"People have become desensitized to big deficits
because in the 1980s there were a lot of false claims
about how ruinous they were going to be," said
Stephen Moore, president of the Club for Growth, a
conservative advocacy group.

"When Concord Coalition types said this was going
to be economic Armageddon, it was a case of the
politician who cried wolf."

Still, deficits could rise higher on the political radar
screen if the economy remains lackluster and jobs
stay hard to find.

"It's a risk for Bush to be running these big deficits,"
Moore said. "They keep on going up and up.



To: Mephisto who wrote (6931)8/4/2003 7:15:45 PM
From: Mephisto  Respond to of 15516
 

State of Decline

The New York Times

August 1, 2003

By PAUL KRUGMAN

From smog to silicon, from the sexual revolution to the tax revolt,
the future has usually arrived in California first. Now the Golden State is
degenerating into a banana republic. Can the nation be far behind?

The recall isn't just a case of hardball politics. It's also a grand act of evasion:
in the face of a severe fiscal crisis, voters are being invited to focus
not on hard choices but on personality. Replacing Gray Davis
with someone more likable isn't going to pay the bills.


And California's slide into irresponsibility, in which politicians refuse
to acknowledge any connection between the government services the public
demands and the taxes that pay for those services, is being
replicated all across America.

Thanks to the end of the tech boom and the bursting of the tech
bubble - with an assist from energy price gouging - California's budget has
plunged into deficit. State and local governments faced with deficits
normally respond with a mix of spending cuts and tax increases. That's what
Mayor Michael Bloomberg has done in New York, it's what Gov. Pete Wilson
did in California's last fiscal crisis, in the early 1990's, and it's what Mr.
Davis proposed earlier this year.

But California's Constitution requires that budgets be passed in the
State Legislature by a two-thirds' margin - which gives the Republican
minority blocking power. And that minority has refused either to vote for
any tax increase, or to make realistic proposals for spending cuts.


You often hear claims that excessive spending is responsible
for California's budget woes. True, budgets grew rapidly after the mid-1990's. But
California began the 1990's by slashing outlays in response to a fiscal crisis,
and most of the subsequent growth was simply a return to pre-crisis
levels. As analysts at the nonpartisan California Budget Project point out,
real state spending per capita was only 10 percent higher in 2002-03
than it was in 1989-90 - that is, most of the spending growth was
simply a matter of keeping up with the population and inflation.

The key factor in rising California spending has been the effort
to rebuild a crippled education system.

Proposition 13, the 1978 cap on property taxes, led to a progressive
starvation of California's once-lauded public schools. By 1994, the state had the
largest class sizes in the nation; its reading scores were on a par with Mississippi's.

Voters wanted this shameful situation remedied. Indeed, much of the
recent growth of education spending was mandated by a rather complex
measure called Proposition 98. So when conservatives
denounce "runaway government spending" in California,
what they're really talking about is
the effort to hire more teachers and repair decrepit school buildings.

Still, now the state faces a huge deficit, and spending must be cut. But shouldn't
the state also seek more revenue? During California's last crisis,
Governor Wilson increased the sales tax and temporarily raised income taxes
on top brackets. This time Governor Davis proposed doing more or
less the same thing - but Senate Republicans refused to go along.
Their counterproposal relied entirely on spending cuts - but, tellingly, offered
no specifics about what, exactly, should be cut.

This week the stalemate was finally resolved, sort of. The budget that
was passed contains one significant tax increase, a rise in the vehicle
licensing fee - for technical reasons, this didn't require a vote.
And it uses elaborate fiscal footwork to evade restrictions on state borrowing,
passing the problem on until next year. It's better than no budget at all,
but it's a monument to political irresponsibility.

Which brings me to the final point: is Washington any better
than Sacramento?

Outside the Social Security system, the federal government is now
running a deficit equal to a third of its spending - worse than California. The
administration says it will never, ever contemplate increasing taxes;
it says it will narrow the deficit through spending restraint, but has never
said what spending it intends to restrain.


If the federal government isn't in crisis, that's only
because - unlike state governments - it isn't obliged to
balance its budget each year. And so
far bond markets have been willing to give
the feds the benefit of the doubt.

But the people now running the country are every bit as irresponsible
as those blocking a serious response to California's crisis.
And sooner or later that irresponsibility
will have the usual consequences.
California, here we come.


nytimes.com

Copyright 2003 The New York Times Company



To: Mephisto who wrote (6931)10/15/2003 12:04:42 AM
From: Mephisto  Respond to of 15516
 
America on the economic watch list


Paul Krugman NYT
Wednesday, October 15, 2003

PRINCETON, New Jersey During the 1990's I spent
much of my time focusing on economic crises around
the world - in particular, on currency crises like
those that struck Southeast Asia in 1997 and
Argentina in 2001. The timing of such crises is hard
to predict. But there are warning signs, like big
trade and budget deficits and rising debt burdens.

And there's one thing I can't help noticing: a Third
World country with America's recent numbers - its
huge budget and trade deficits, its growing reliance
on short-term borrowing from the rest of the world -
would definitely be on the watch list.


I'm not the only one thinking that. The brokerage
firm Lehman Brothers has a mathematical model
known as Damocles that it calls "an early warning
system to identify the likelihood of countries
entering into financial crises." Developing nations
are looking pretty safe these days. But applying the
same model to some advanced countries "would set
Damocles' alarm bells ringing." Lehman's press
release adds, "Most conspicuous of these threats is
the United States."

Let's run through some reassuring
counterarguments.


First, economists are very good at devising models
that would have predicted past crises, but each new
crisis tends to happen where and when they didn't
expect it. So even though the U.S. budget deficit is
bigger relative to the economy than Argentina's in
2000, and the U.S. trade deficit is bigger relative to
the economy than Indonesia's in 1996, the American
experience needn't be the same.

Second, nasty crises in Third World countries have a
lot to do with the fact that their debt is in foreign
currency, usually dollars. As a result, when the peso
or the rupiah plunges, debts explode while assets
don't, and balance sheets collapse. By contrast,
thanks to the special international role of the dollar,
America's burgeoning foreign debt is in its own
currency.

Finally, financial markets are generally willing to
give advanced countries the benefit of the doubt.
Even when an advanced country seems to be deep in
a financial hole, lenders usually assume that it will
somehow find the resources and political will to
climb back out.

So is America safe, despite its scary numbers?

Third World countries typically suffer from
institutional weaknesses. They have poor corporate
governance: You can't trust business accounting,
and insiders often enrich themselves at
stockholders' expense. Meanwhile, cronyism is
rampant, with close personal and financial links
between powerful politicians and the very companies
that benefit from public largess. Luckily, in America
we don't have any of these weaknesses. Oh, wait.
(Isn't that all history? No. According to The Wall
Street Journal, we are again hearing warnings that
"optimism is based on massaged earnings.")

Still, there's no question that the United States has
the resources to climb out of its financial hole. The
question is whether it has the political will.

There is now a huge structural gap - that is, a gap
that won't go away even if the economy recovers -
between spending and revenue. For the time being,
borrowing can fill that gap. But eventually there
must be either a large tax increase or major cuts in
popular programs. If the American political system
can't bring itself to choose one alternative or the
other - and so far the commander in chief refuses
even to admit that America has a problem - the
United States will eventually face a nasty financial
crisis.


The crisis won't come immediately. For a few years,
America will still be able to borrow freely, simply
because lenders assume that things will somehow
work out.

But at a certain point we'll have a Wile E. Coyote
moment. For those not familiar with the Road
Runner cartoons, Coyote had a habit of running off
cliffs and taking several steps on thin air before
noticing that there was nothing underneath his feet.
Only then would he plunge.

What will that plunge look like? It will certainly
involve a sharp fall in the dollar and a sharp rise in
interest rates. In the worst-case scenario, the
government's access to borrowing will be cut off,
creating a cash crisis that throws the United States
into chaos.

I know: It all sounds unbelievable. But would you
have believed, three years ago, that the budget
would plunge so quickly from a record surplus to a
record deficit? And would you have believed that,
confronted with that plunge, America's leaders
would offer excuses rather than solutions?

E-mail: krugman@nytimes.com



To: Mephisto who wrote (6931)11/6/2003 11:48:40 PM
From: Mephisto  Respond to of 15516
 

The U.S. debt just can't keep growing


By Paul Krugman (NYT)
Wednesday, November 5, 2003

PRINCETON, New Jersey: Academic economists often cite Stein's Law, a
principle enunciated by the late Herbert Stein, chairman of the Council of
Economic Advisers during the Nixon administration. The law comes with various
wordings; my favorite is: "Things that can't go on forever, don't." Believe it or not,
that's a useful reminder.


For we Americans are now led by men who think that macho posturing makes
Stein's Law go away. On issues ranging from budgets to foreign policy, they
insist that the United States can sustain the unsustainable. And when
challenged to explain how, they engage in magical thinking.

The prime example I have hammered on in this column is, of course, the federal
budget. Realistic budget projections say that current policies aren't remotely
sustainable. For example, a month ago a joint report of the Committee for
Economic Development (a business group), the bipartisan Concord Coalition
and the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities concluded that under current
policies, federal debt would rise by $5 trillion over the next decade. And then
baby boomers will start collecting benefits, and the debt will really explode.

Such explosive growth in America's debt can't go on forever, and it won't.
Yet
our current leaders and their apologists insist that the problem will magically
solve itself. Last year's deficit came in slightly below forecasts, and we've had
one quarter of good economic growth - see, we'll grow out of the deficit! But we
won't, and there will eventually be a day of reckoning. As Bill Gross of Pimco,
the giant bond manager, says, "Sooner, perhaps later, our Asian creditors will
wake up and smell the coffee." (Yes, the federal budget and the value of the
dollar now depend on huge purchases of Treasury bills by the governments of
Japan and China.) When they do, he predicts "higher import costs, a cutback in
spending on cheap foreign goods, rising inflation, perhaps chaotic financial
markets, a lower standard of living." Something to look forward to.

But the day of reckoning seems closer on a different front.

Some Americans may share the views of the Republican congressman who
said that progress in Iraq is "a better and more important story than losing a
couple of soldiers every day." (Support the troops!)

But whether or not you think troop losses are important, there's growing
evidence that the U.S. Iraq strategy is unsustainable. The immediate issue is
manpower. Some politicians are calling for a bigger force in Iraq - but even the
current force levels can't be maintained.


In September the Congressional Budget Office analyzed how many U.S.
soldiers could be kept in Iraq without extending tours beyond one year. The
conclusion was that force levels would have to start dropping rapidly about five
months from now, and that the forces in Iraq and Kuwait would eventually have
to shrink by almost two-thirds. As the report explains, the Pentagon can use
various expedients to maintain a larger force in Iraq, but all of these expedients
would threaten to undermine military readiness.

At a broader level, the accelerating pace at which Americans are being killed
and wounded and the strains of occupation duties clearly pose difficulties for
recruitment in a volunteer military. And at a still broader level, public support for
this war - whose original rationale has turned out to be a mirage, if not a
deliberate deception - will wilt if losses go on at this rate, no matter how tough
the president talks.

For sure, good things are happening in Iraq. But are we making the kind of
progress that would allow us to withdraw large numbers of soldiers, and greatly
reduce casualties, in the fairly near future? That's a hard case to make.

Yet we keep expecting a magic solution. We'll get European, Indian and
Pakistani forces to help us! But since we went to war without international
support, they're not interested. We'll bring in the Turks! But the Iraqi Governing
Council itself is bitterly opposed.

We'll engage in "Iraqification," creating local forces that take the place of
American troops! Let's hope that works - but hope is not a plan.

Just as the federal government is in no immediate danger of running out of
money, U.S. forces in Iraq are in no danger of outright defeat. But in both cases,
current policies appear to be unsustainable: we can't go on like this indefinitely.
And things that can't go on forever, don't.

E-mail: krugman@nytimes.com



To: Mephisto who wrote (6931)9/4/2004 7:05:13 PM
From: Mephisto  Respond to of 15516
 
Bush Plans Could Raise U.S. Deficits
The New York Times

September 4, 2004

By LOUIS UCHITELLE

President Bush promised in his nomination acceptance speech
to improve the lives of millions of Americans by expanding a variety of
existing programs, but neither he nor his aides explained how
they would pay for the proposals, some of which promised to accelerate
the budget deficit over the next decade.


"We have cost estimates and those will be put forward in the coming
weeks and months,'' said Trent Duffy, the deputy White House press
secretary, declining to offer details. Whatever the costs, the proposals
would not go to Congress for approval until February or March, when
the presidential budget for the 2006 fiscal year is published.
That year begins 13 months from now.

Congress has not approved a budget for the fiscal year 2005,
which starts in three and a half weeks. Mr. Bush proposed spending increases
in that budget, but last spring the Office of Management and Budget
instructed federal offices and agencies to cut spending in the requests
they submitted for the 2006 budget.

"We can't tell whether the president is now reversing course and
actually planning to devote more resources to the areas mentioned in his
speech,'' said Robert Greenstein, executive director of the Center
on Budget and Policy Priorities, "or whether he will remain with temporary
increases now to be followed by substantial cuts in such areas
as education and job training.''


In his speech Thursday night, Mr. Bush said he would expand
job training programs "to help workers take advantage of the expanding
economy to find better and higher-paying jobs.''

That would be a shift in policy: During the Bush years, money
for a central part of the program, the retraining of millions of laid-off workers,
has remained essentially unchanged at about $4 billion annually.

The most expensive proposals offered tax breaks for three
types of savings accounts and various tax credits for health care.
These would add
roughly $50 billion to $100 billion to the $2.4 trillion in tax cuts now
projected over the next decade, Mr. Greenstein estimated. But the
trend would continue to be toward sheltering the income of wealthy
people and putting more of the tax burden on wage earners.


During the Bush years, the tax rate on wages and on income from
investments has declined, but the decline for investment income is
roughly 4 percentage points while that for workers is 2 points,
according to estimates by the Congressional Budget Office.

"Some of the president's proposals at the Republican convention
may not have immediate fiscal effects, but they are radical changes in the
system of taxation that we have,'' said Peter Orszag, a senior fellow
at the Brookings Institution and a special assistant on economic policy in
the Clinton administration.

The Bush administration, in a second term, would provide tax incentives
to set up three types of savings accounts. A health savings account
would encourage people to pay for their own health care out of these
accounts, though the estimated tax breaks would be less than the
actual average cost of health care, according to most estimates.

A new retirement savings account would in effect replace traditional I.R.A.'s.
And a lifetime savings account would shelter up to $7,500 a
year for each individual in a household, or $30,000 for a family of four.
The savings and interest could be withdrawn at any time tax-free.


The retirement accounts might raise revenue initially, Mr. Greenstein
said, as people cash out I.R.A.'s and switch the funds to the new
accounts. New money going into these accounts would not be deductible
and tax revenue would also rise as a result. But none of the
earnings would be taxable and that would cut into tax revenue in later years.
As for lifetime savings accounts, the accumulated tax savings
for a wealthy family putting $30,000 a year into these accounts
would increasingly shift the tax burden to wage earners, according to critics.


Concerning education, Mr. Bush said he would increase testing and reward
teachers when their students do well, a proposal that Senator
John Kerry, the Democratic nominee, has also made. In particular,
the president proposed spending $250 million more to require more
statewide exams in reading and math and $200 million to monitor
the progress of incoming high school students.

The increase would be significantly more than what the administration
has requested in recent years, though experts deemed it far short of
what it would take to conduct more standardized tests nationwide.

"It seemed like the right rhetoric, but not the right solution," said Keith Gayler,
associate director for the Center on Education Policy, which
generally supports testing. "This seems woefully underfunded
and if it is not well funded, it will probably cause more harm than good."


Copyright 2004 The New York Times Company
nytimes.com



To: Mephisto who wrote (6931)10/15/2004 3:01:56 PM
From: Mephisto  Respond to of 15516
 
2004 Deficit Hits Record $214 Billion

Thu Oct 14, 4:21 PM ET

story.news.yahoo.com

By ALAN FRAM, Associated Press Writer

WASHINGTON - The federal deficit surged to a record $413 billion in
2004, the Treasury Department announced Thursday,
injecting the figure into a presidential campaign in which the two parties
have clashed over President Bush (news - web sites)'s management of
the economy and the budget.


The number was a significant improvement from the shortfalls that
analysts projected earlier this year, including a $521 billion estimate the
Bush administration made in February. In March, the nonpartisan
Congressional Budget Office (news - web sites) estimated a deficit of
$477 billion.

Both the administration and the Congressional Budget Office had
lowered their deficit forecasts as the year progressed, due to stronger
than expected revenue collections and lower spending.

Even so, the final deficit figure easily surpassed the previous record in
dollar terms - a revised $377 billion deficit that was run up last year.
The government's 2004 budget year ran through Sept. 30.

In a statement, Treasury Secretary John Snow cited improving economic
data and said the budgetary improvement shows Bush is on track to cut
the deficit in half over five years as he has promised.

"All of this shows that the president's tax relief initiatives are having the
intended effects," Snow said.

Democrats disagreed.

"There is simply no credible way to present the largest deficit in history
as good news," said Rep. John Spratt of South
Carolina, top Democrat on the House Budget Committee. "The
Republicans control the House, the Senate and the White House, but
today's news proves again they have failed to control the budget."


The government spent $2.292 trillion last year and collected $1.88 trillion
in revenue, the Treasury Department said.

The administration and congressional Republicans have discounted the
significance of a deficit of this magnitude.

They say the more important measure is that the 2004 shortfall was an
estimated 3.6 percent the size of the economy, well below the worst-ever
6 percent figure set in 1983 under President Reagan.

Many economists agree that comparison is more significant because it
shows how affordable the deficit is for the nation. But many of them are
uncomfortable with shortfalls of that size because the deficits are
expected to worsen later this decade when the huge baby boom
generation begins drawing on Social Security (news - web sites) and
Medicare.

The Treasury released the final deficit figure the same day it announced
that the government has begun using accounting procedures to avoid
hitting the $7.4 trillion national debt limit.

Snow made that announcement in a letter to Congress. Lawmakers have
yet to pass legislation needed to boost the government's borrowing
authority, which now stands at a statutory limit of $7.4 trillion.

"Given current projections, it is imperative that the Congress take action
to increase the debt limit by mid-November," when "all of our previously
used prudent and legal actions to avoid breaching the statutory debt limit
will be exhausted," Snow wrote House and Senate leaders of both
parties.

When the government runs an annual deficit, it must borrow money to
finance its operations, driving its accumulated debt ever higher.