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Strategies & Market Trends : Heinz Blasnik- Views You Can Use -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GraceZ who wrote (2476)6/13/2003 7:52:02 PM
From: Don Lloyd  Respond to of 4904
 
Grace,

He's not saying that the quantity of money doesn't matter he's saying using money supply targeting hasn't worked [to engineer the economy]. It doesn't surprise me though that almost everyone would misread that statement.

Friedman should have stuck with what he originally said which was that the money supply should grow at a low fixed rate protected from policy tinkering.


It DOES surprise me that such an absurd misreading would occur.

I doubt that there is much empirical historical evidence that any such money growth targeting ever was tried, so any regrets that Friedman may have would be the result of difficulties, both technical and political, in trying to carry out such a policy, not that such a policy wouldn't have been a huge improvement over historical reality if it could have been carried out.

The real problem with Friedman's recipe, is that it can be used as a justification for adding salt at all, with the cooks then paying no attention to restricting the amount of salt they add.

Since the primary real purpose of increasing the money supply is to finance the expansion of government without the need to levy explicit taxes, there was never any chance that Friedman would be pleased with the result.

The secondary real purpose is to try to synchronize economic cycles with political election cycles, to the hoped for advantage of the party in power. This has been far less successful than expanding the government.

Regards, Don



To: GraceZ who wrote (2476)6/13/2003 11:02:36 PM
From: NOW  Respond to of 4904
 
"He's not saying that the quantity of money doesn't matter he's saying using money supply targeting hasn't worked [to engineer the economy]. It doesn't surprise me though that almost everyone would misread that statement."
Why would anyone read it that way?



To: GraceZ who wrote (2476)6/14/2003 12:52:31 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4904
 
Hello Grace, <<“The use of quantity of money as a target has not been a success. I’m not sure I would push it as hard as I once did.”>> … should be understood and thus interpreted as “I might have been wrong about what I believed on this, and if so, I may be wrong on other matters as well”.

Chugs, Jay