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To: Henry J Costanzo who wrote (76144)6/18/2003 12:09:23 PM
From: Shack  Respond to of 209892
 
Indeed. Still pretty weak but I doubt the H&S is correct. Doesn't mean it won't participate in a 'c' of '4' down but I doubt it gets all the way to the H&S resolution.

I've been watching KLAC for clues there, it is only retesting its H&S neckline now.



To: Henry J Costanzo who wrote (76144)6/18/2003 1:29:44 PM
From: JRI  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
Bond is breaking down here, no?

Is there such thing as 'systemic risk' on US bonds?...I mean, the ol' adage goes that US would never default on its bonds, but I'd think as US financial position gets weaker (add'l leverage), there should be some adjustment of this risk level within the bond itself....something totally outside supply/demand daily factors....that could lead to higher rates, but not necessarily indicator that economic activity is picking..

Maybe I am showing bear bias here, but I have a hard time understanding (if idea is, as bond rates go up- economic activity picking up) where the pick up in growth is...I don't see it (and don't know anyone who does)..ex-housing, the situation looks even more skewed