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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sully- who wrote (25155)8/11/2003 9:51:34 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 89467
 
I will always drop by, even if from French INet cafe

reading KR's August issue now
got 16 to read and catch up
his main point in Aug issue is that the USEconomy is now slightly in recession !!!
yes, recession

back out the hedonics for IT spending
back out the unreasonable chain-weighted GDP lift from understated CPI calculation
and you get slightly negative GDP for Q2 !!!
he says to confirm it with jobless increases
we do not EVER see job losses during small econ recovery
NEVER

also, Europe is in slight recession with fewer job losses
so a correlation comparison confirms US in recession

I like the way this guy thinks
but I will not discuss any more on the nature of the trip
only what I learn on the economy and financial markets
it has to be that way
/ jim