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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: At_The_Ask who wrote (46669)8/16/2003 7:51:53 AM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 52237
 
More than anything else it's the Monster Cap (275.5Bil ) piece of crap MSFT..& it keeps flooding the
market with shares and it holds such a big percentage of the S&P and NDX..as
well as being in the DOW..it has a PE of 27 and PS of 8.65...
and if you take it out of the S&P, then the S&Ps average PE would drop to about 15..
----
IT's the #1 problem with letting a big bloated pig dominate a Cap weighted index; The index funds
are forced to buy her as money flows in...no matter what.
And to get MSFTs PE down the whole S&P index has to suffer...
IT's also a big part of why the Midcap 400 has done so much better than the S&P during
the bear market..( there is a limit on market cap )
----
During the Bubble days when the index funds bought they had to buy more and more
of the BIG caps..That even now after 3 years of bear market
The TOP 10 stocks in the S&P 500 has 23.32% of the index fund and program buying action..
While the TOP 10 stocks in the S&P 400 only has 8.30% of it's index.

The shear weight at the top makes the S&P in spite of her 500 stocks almost like
some top heavy specialty fund, the NDX is worse..
The RUB is; a new bull can't really emerge ; get in gear ( and stay in gear )
until those FAT PIGS start going
up faster than the rest.
Jim