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Pastimes : SARS - what next? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Henry Niman who wrote (665)	8/18/2003 5:43:04 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1070

<Of 142 people who fell ill in the Lodge, 12 tested positive for the corona virus, which is thought to be the force behind SARS, the health authority said. But those twelve showed no symptoms worse than those of a common cold. (earlier reports indicated one of the 12 had died and had pneumonia - in fact 3 had died with pneumonia - I suspect the earlier report is correct) > 3 of 12 is 25%. For such a potentially Black Death level of catastrophe looming, it is amazing [but not surprising] that marshalling of forces and information isn't on a scale at least as serious as that adopted to handle the threat from Saddam and his now dead sons. Confused is right. I suppose as so often, people ignore oncoming doom until it's a panic and too late to do anything about it. They worry about the greenhouse effect, depleted uranium, pesticide residues in food, then ignore possibly the biggest thing the planet has seen [in absolute terms if not percentage terms]. Assuming 10% is the final score and half the world ends up infected and challenged, then that's 3 billion x 10% = 300 million dead people, most of whom will be over 60 years old. That's quite a geopolitical and demographic event. There would be economic consequences too. Big ones. Mqurice