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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: quehubo who wrote (112462)	8/23/2003 3:27:52 PM
From: KyrosL	Respond to of 281500

You are pointing out the biggest threat to the world economy by far. My question is are we, now that we have taken over Iraq, better able to face this threat? For example, what happens if radical elements friendly to OBL stage a successful coup in Saudi Arabia? Do we have enough troops to handle them as well as Iraq and Afghanistan (and North Korea)?

To: quehubo who wrote (112462)	8/24/2003 6:19:38 PM
From: Hawkmoon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Most people dont realize that until Iraq is thriving, pumping 3-4mbpd oil and increasing, that any significant disruption in Saudi or Iranian oil flow from an attack could throw the world into a depression that would make the 1930's look like a day in the park. It would certainly create tremendous negative pressure on and global economic recovery, at the very least.. And this has been my point about Iraq. We invaded Iraq, IMO, in order to create an alternative global swing producer to rival Saudi Arabia. Only in this way would we have sufficient leverage to force the Saudis to deal with their Wahhabist elements, and if necessary, make it feasible for the US to potentially engage in military action against them without excessively disrupting the global energy markets. However, I believe the Saudis have gotten the message and are finally taking the necessary actions internally. But the Saudis, like any other nation, are split in their political agendas, some being moderate/modern, and others holding fast to conservative and/or militant ideas. And the Saudi Royal family will bend in whatever direction the political winds are blowing. Hawk