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To: calgal who wrote (250)8/25/2003 3:01:07 PM
From: calgal  Respond to of 260
 
Poll: Schwarzenegger Trails in Calif.
Remaining GOP Rivals Refuse to Quit Race







URL:http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A41843-2003Aug25.html


By Beth Fouhy
The Associated Press
Monday, August 25, 2003; 10:17 AM

SAN FRANCISCO - Arnold Schwarzenegger's top remaining Republican rivals refused to drop out of the gubernatorial race despite a new poll showing Schwarzenegger trailing the leading Democratic hopeful and pressure on the GOP to unify behind one candidate.

"This horse is in the race to the finish line," state Sen. Tom McClintock said Sunday, a day after fellow conservative Bill Simon abandoned the race, arguing that the crowded field could hurt GOP chances.

A spokesman for former baseball commissioner Peter Ueberroth said Ueberroth also plans to stay in the contest, and will begin airing radio ads this week.

The vows from McClintock and Ueberroth came during a weekend that yet again reshuffled the ever-changing race, with Simon giving up, Democrats offering signs of increasing unity and the poll results showing that Schwarzenegger may no longer be the leading man.

The new poll, conducted by the Los Angeles Times, showed a big lead for Democratic Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante, the only major Democrat on the replacement ballot.

Bustamante had 35 percent support among likely voters, compared to 22 percent for Schwarzenegger, a significant reversal of earlier polls showing a virtual dead heat or a Schwarzenegger lead.

Bustamante strategist Richie Ross said that in response, the lieutenant governor said, "we have to work harder. We're working 19 hours a day, and he told me to bump it up to 20."

Trailing well behind the two leaders were McClintock with 12 percent, Ueberroth with 7 percent and Simon with 6 percent. Simon, last year's Republican nominee for governor, abandoned his campaign Saturday, after the poll was conducted. The poll of 801 likely voters had a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points.

Some Republicans saw the poll results as evidence that the field of replacement candidates should be winnowed.

"The headline here is that Republicans are winning but the vote is split, so pressure by Republicans to coalesce behind a single candidate will be greater than ever," said Allan Hoffenblum, a former Republican strategist. "It's a competitive race, and it needs to be turned into a two-person race between Schwarzenegger and Bustamante."

Not surprisingly, the Schwarzenegger campaign agreed. "Mr. Simon spelled it out clearly yesterday - there are too many candidates in the race," said Schwarzenegger spokesman Sean Walsh.

The recall ballot will have two parts. Voters first will be asked to vote yes or no on whether to recall Davis, and then will choose from a list of 135 candidates to replace him if he is recalled.

On the Democratic side, the poll was the latest piece of good news for Bustamante, whose campaign picked up several key endorsements in recent days. Even Davis, who has opposed the lieutenant governor's "no on recall, yes on Bustamante" strategy, edged closer to adopting that plan as the Democrats' best alternative.

"There is no question that I have a lot of confidence in Cruz Bustamante - he is the most qualified person on question number two," Davis told CNN Sunday. "I understand why other Democrats would want a safety valve - it is a perfectly rational position to take."

© 2003 The Associated Press



To: calgal who wrote (250)8/25/2003 5:08:15 PM
From: calgal  Respond to of 260
 
URL:http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=511&ncid=703&e=2&u=/ap/20030825/ap_on_el_gu/recall_davis_team

Gov. Davis Circled by New, Old Advisers
2 hours, 27 minutes ago

By TOM CHORNEAU, Associated Press Writer

SACRAMENTO, Calif. - As he wages what could be his last campaign, Gov. Gray Davis (news - web sites) is surrounded by a mix of old and new advisers, but his ultimate inner circle consists of just two people: Davis and his wife, Sharon.

AP Photo



 

It has been that way for a decade, after Davis ran an ill-advised and harshly negative campaign in 1992 against Dianne Feinstein for the Democratic nomination for the Senate. One Davis advertisement compared Feinstein, now a senator, to Leona Helmsley, the New York hotel owner and tax cheat.

Davis dumped his Los Angeles-based political advisers after that race, and since then, he is the one who runs his campaigns, said Bob Waste, professor of public administration at California State University, Sacramento. "On some levels it doesn't matter or make any difference who else is there. Davis' No. 1 skill after raising money is winning elections."

Now Davis has one more election to win, and he is relying on a team consisting of longtime Davis veterans, including pollster Paul Maslin and David Doak, who does the TV ads. The day-to-day staff is overseen by Larry Grisolano and Steve Smith, who have been with Davis since his days as lieutenant governor.

The team also includes Feinstein, Davis' one-time opponent and now constant defender, and former President Clinton (news - web sites). Missing, at least on a full-time basis, is Garry South, the adviser who helped mastermind Davis' rise to power five years ago. South has joined Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman (news - web sites)'s run for the Democratic presidential nomination.

Although South's absence is significant, most observers call Davis' team battle-tested and successful. The big question is how well they can adapt their playbook to the new rules of the historic Oct. 7 election.

"This is like nothing any of us has ever seen before. It's two elections in one," said Bill Carrick, a longtime Democratic consultant and Feinstein adviser. Voters will first decide whether to keep or remove Davis, and will then pick from a list of potential replacements.

The governor's pollsters are the firm of Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates. Maslin is a veteran of many Democratic presidential campaigns and has also worked for Feinstein, former Sen. Alan Cranston and Ross Perot (news - web sites), has been with Davis since his 1994 run for lieutenant governor.

Helping to shape the Davis message is Doak and his Washington-based firm of Doak, Carrier, O'Donnell & Associates. Doak has worked for a number of well-known Democrats, including former House Minority Leader Richard Gephardt of Missouri and Massachusetts Sen. Edward Kennedy (news, bio, voting record).

The campaign staff is headed by Grisolano, who helped the Clinton-Gore campaign in California in 1992 and has worked for Davis off and on since 1994.

Smith joined Davis' team after working for the California State Employees Association. He was a deputy campaign manager on Davis' 1998 campaign for governor and served on his staff when Davis was lieutenant governor.

"These are political pros and very good," said Democratic political consultant Darry Sragow, who is not working for Davis. "It's a huge advantage to Davis, not having to build a campaign team from ground zero, like some of the other candidates, with such a short campaign."

South, who still plays a role in the Davis campaign as an unpaid adviser, is credited with helping design two of Davis' biggest victories: the 1998 Democratic primary upset over two better-known, better-funded opponents; and the knockout of Republican rival and former Los Angeles Mayor Richard Riordan, who lost last year's GOP primary in part because of $10 million worth of TV ads Davis hit him with.

"When I think of Garry South, I think of Luca Brasi from `The Godfather,'" said Jack Pitney, a political scientist from Claremont McKenna College. "When Luca Brasi left the scene, the Godfather was in trouble — he had to rely on Fredo as his bodyguard."

With South as his "hitman," Pitney said, Davis could rely on someone to take on his critics. Without him, "Davis has had to do more of that himself, making his candidacy somewhat more negative than it might otherwise be."

Some say Sharon Davis has an even bigger role than before. Davis' high-profile speech last Tuesday night in Los Angeles — which advisers say kicked off his campaign — was written with Sharon Davis' help, said Gabriel Sanchez, a campaign spokesman.

She is also writing political essays that are being posted on the Web site of Californians Against the Costly Recall.

 

"She's always been a big part of his decision-making process, but I just get a sense that she's a little more involved this time," said Sherry Bebitch Jeffe, a political scholar at the University of Southern California. "He's grown to rely on her."