To: skinowski who wrote (80328 ) 9/1/2003 1:09:18 PM From: nspolar Respond to of 209892 skin, I don't propose to understand. I don't think it necessary however for a currency to be fully backed by gold. As I recall the Moslem gold back dinar does not mean that all transactions will be in gold, per their plans. A ledger does not have to be settled but every so often, for example, on the net balance. It seems doubtful to me that gold will become currency again, except perhaps for a short duration. Right now I think it more than likely somewhat akin to the Inet boom, with a little more asset backing. If gold does become currency or partial currency, the US is not in that bad of a position. We have decent reserves. A couple things to remember, when you get all depressed thinking about all the stuff going down: a) The US has so far proven to have better internal cleaning mechanisms than any country current or previous. I do have some faith they will continue to work. We have a little cleaning going on in CA as we speak, and a major election coming up very soon. The thing I dislike most at the moment however are all these Chapter 11's that should have been Chapter 7's (hope I got that right). The Enron's, MCI's, Kmart's, etc. should have been wiped out, and they were not. Maybe however the flip side would turn into a monopoly problem. b) Technological change. Hopkins states the importance of oil. What if oil suddenly became a much less important source of energy? The ME would wilt in importance and you would see oil rich countries trying to get rid of their resource as fast as possible. It will happen, maybe not in my lifetime however. Right now we are experience major social change due to technological advances, although most of us do not realize it. The Internet imho is the major driver, and it has barely started. I might add everyone speaks of China and how powerful they will become. That remains to be seen. The internal organization within China is I believe extremely corrupt, and a 1 party system like they have is not very good at cleaning itself. Russia is a quite recent example. Reagan didn't bring the Bolsheviks down, they brought themselves down.