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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: stockman_scott who wrote (114788)	9/14/2003 4:56:10 PM
From: quehubo	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Powell Visits Iraq, Praises Progress By GEORGE GEDDA, Associated Press Writer BAGHDAD, Iraq - Secretary of State Colin Powell (news - web sites) said Sunday he is convinced "the winds of freedom are blowing" across Iraq (news - web sites) but acknowledged the possibility that terrorists are trying to make their way into the country and sabotage the process toward self-rule. Powell spent 12 hours in talks with the team of American officials guiding Iraq in the postwar period and with the U.S.-appointed Iraqi Governing Council. On his first visit to the nation that has dominated his attention since the early days of the Bush administration, Powell attended a Baghdad City Council meeting, met with Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari and joined the U.S. administrator for Iraq, L. Paul Bremer, at a joint news conference. He described impressive moves toward self-government and seemed invigorated by what he heard as he made his rounds. "There is vibrancy to this effort, a vibrancy that I attribute to the winds of freedom that are now blowing through this land," he said after the city council meeting. Powell's day began with a flight from Kuwait aboard a C-130 cargo plane and ended with a dinner with a leading Baghdad-based Shiite cleric. He said the United States is committed to having Iraqis run their government, but wants to cede power after a "deliberative process" rather than the early transfer advocated by some fellow members of the U.N. Security Council. France has pressed for seating a provisional government within a month. "We are not hanging on for the sake of hanging on. We are hanging on because it's necessary to stay with this task until a new government has been created, a responsible government," Powell said at the news conference with Bremer. "The worst thing that could happen is for us to push this process too quickly, before the capacity for governance is there and the basis for legitimacy is there, and see it fail." Powell called attention to the appointment of an interim Iraqi Cabinet with 25 ministers, steps toward creation of an independent judiciary and general Arab acceptance of Zebari as a legitimate Iraqi representative even though Iraqi still lacks an authentic government. "There is a sense of hope here even in this time of difficulty," Powell said. "Those who are so critical of the administration might want to hold their fire a bit." Powell acknowledged that the security situation remains challenging, with a major new threat coming from "terrorists who are trying to infiltrate into the country for the purpose of disrupting this whole process." The secretary gave a rough estimate of 100 such infiltrators and said he was confident that the U.S. military can handle the problem. The attacks on American occupying forces, an almost daily occurrence in Iraq, continued when a roadside bomb hit a convoy in the city of Fallujah, killing a U.S. soldier and injuring three others, the military said. Some 155 soldiers have died in Iraq since President Bush (news - web sites) declared an end to major combat on May 1. During the heavy fighting before that date, 138 soldiers died. "This security threat comes from those who do not want to see (deposed President) Saddam Hussein (news - web sites) go and those who want to foment trouble here, terrorists who are coming in, as well as remnants of the old regime," Powell told "Fox News Sunday" in Washington. He said military commanders told him they are confident they can handle both threats, though it will take time. Almost nine in 10 Americans, in an ABC-Washington Post poll released Sunday, said they were concerned that the United States is going to get bogged down in a long and costly peacekeeping mission in Iraq. In Washington, Vice President Dick Cheney (news - web sites) hinted that the administration would seek more money next year than the additional $87 billion already requested to pay mainly for postwar costs in Iraq. He also said the administration does not know when the U.S. military presence in Iraq will end. About 116,000 American troops are deployed in Iraq. While some U.S. lawmakers have urged the administration to increase that number and persuade other countries to commit troops, Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld took issue with critics who say the mission has become a quagmire. "We've been there 4 1/2 months since the end of major military combat. Four-and-a-half months is not bogged down, in my view," he told CBS' "Face the Nation." Last week, U.S. Sen. Tom Harkin, D-Iowa, made a comparison to Vietnam. That prompted a blunt response from Powell: "We ought to stop with these rather bizarre historical allusions back to something that happened 25, 30 years ago," Powell said on CNN's "Late Edition." He asserted that "there is political life returning here on a democratic basis. The Iraqi people are being presented a future so totally different from the horrible past from which they've just come out." Bremer has said a new government could be in place as early as the end of 2004. But the Iraqi chairman of a committee studying the constitutional process said Sunday that it could take as long as two years to write a new Iraqi constitution, hold a national referendum on it and conduct national elections. On an unseasonably cool day, Powell was received warmly at the Baghdad International Airport by dozens of U.S. soldiers. He posed with some for photographs. The former general, whose last military job was chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, looked very much at home with the sergeants and corporals who surrounded him. Powell then flew to Baghdad by helicopter, avoiding the drive along an airport road that has been the scene of occasional sniper attacks. Zebari, who took office just a week ago, acknowledged that the security environment will influence the pace of progress toward Iraqi self-rule. He expressed hope that by mid-2004, Iraq will have "an elected legitimate government." Details about the length of Powell's stay in Iraq and his remaining activities were closely held by U.S. officials. He was expected to visit locations associated with rights abuses under Saddam's rule. Rumsfeld, on a recent visit to Iraq, went to a mass grave site.

To: stockman_scott who wrote (114788)	9/14/2003 6:01:19 PM
From: Jacob Snyder	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

re: Villepin's proposal for Iraq: <Another path remains possible, putting the Iraqi people in the center of reconstruction processes...> Nice idea, but the Iraqi people aren't going to cooperate, as long as a foreign army of occupation is in control. <let us acknowledge that the foreign presence in itself constitutes a point of contention> Right. Whether under the UN flag or not. <Today, it is urgent to transfer sovereignty to the Iraqi people themselves, to allow them to completely fulfill their own responsibilities. Then, the different ethnic communities will find the strength, I hope, to work together.> Hope? He wants to transfer power to Iraqis quickly, and he hopes they will choose politics not based on ethnicity, not based on religion. Since every existing political party and militia in Iraq is based on ethnicity or religion, this is an unrealistic hope. <Let’s speed up the formation of an Iraqi national army along the lines of what we’re doing in Afghanistan.> In Afghanistan, the warlords control the country, Western soldiers control the capital, the tiny "national army" is controlled by an ethnic minority that is unacceptable to the majority population of Afghanistan, and the "President" of Afghanistan controls.......nothing. Not even his own capital. Not even his own puny army. This is the model Villepin wants to follow? He goes on to propose keeping military power in US hands, while political power is given to the UN, who quickly hands it over to Iraqis. Doesn't give any details, about which Iraqis he wants to hand power to. He wants to quickly reconstitute an Iraqi Army, hand over internal security to them, and limit the foreign soldiers to securing the frontiers. Nice idea. But who is going to be in charge of this army, and what makes Villepin think they will take orders from the US, or the UN? The Kurds have their own armies, controlling their own areas. The Sunnis are in rebellion. That leaves the Shiites. We are already in the process of turning over Shiite cities to the Badr Brigade. The ground in Iraq, following the Afghan pattern, is gradually being seized by a variety of militias, none of whom are willing to take orders from foreigners. The window of opportunity is already closed, to reconstitute an Iraqi army. <General elections could be envisaged for as soon as possible, spring 2004.> Difficult to see how elections could happen, in the current security environment. Since political parties based on ideology (rather than tribe, race, or religion) have yet to emerge in Iraq, it's highly unlikley they would win an election held in 2004. To sum up: Villepin is doing a lot of wishful thinking. He sees the ongoing failure of the current American plan, but his proposals are also unrealistic. Villepin sounds a lot like Abbas, hoping Hamas can be talked into disarming, hoping the Americans will force the Israelis to dismantle their settlements. Standing on the disappearing middle ground.