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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: KyrosL who wrote (116921)	10/15/2003 1:50:24 PM
From: Jacob Snyder	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

<A nuclear armed Iran is a far greater threat to the US (and Israel) than to Russia.> Only as long as Israel keeps talking about bombing Iran, and the U.S. keeps trying to destabilize and overthrow the Iranian government (again). Iranian nukes will be pointed at the U.S. and Israel, as long as we try to bully them more than the Russians are. The obvious way to increase U.S. and Israeli security, is to quit the bullying. It's way to late to try and stop Iran from getting nukes. It might be a good thing, for OPEC to overreach, by limiting production and pushing oil to 50$/B. That might finally get us off our lazy short-sighted butts, and get serious about conservation and alternatives.

To: KyrosL who wrote (116921)	10/15/2003 2:24:53 PM
From: carranza2	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Here's a highly-detailed report written by two respected Russians listing in excruciating detail the difficulties and opportunities Russia will face from a nuclear-armed Iran. Provides a very good background on Iranian nuclear efforts. In a nutshell, the experts suggest further Russian cooperation with Iran essentially because of economic reasons and because Iran has been instrumental in normalizing Islamic conflict in Russia. The US attempts to buy Russian cooperation are almost laughed at since the value of Iranian trade was much higher than the value of American inducements. The Russians naturally suggest that Iran should agree to be monitored in exchange for Russia's nuclear assistance. I don't recall any discussion in the article of why one of the most energy independent states in the globe might be interested in alternative energy sources. Call me cynical.. Highly recommended reading. A good view of Russian thinking, which will be undoubtedly pragmatic as respects Iran. pircenter.org