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Strategies & Market Trends : Group Theories -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: macavity who wrote (755)10/22/2003 10:29:14 AM
From: macavity  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1017
 
IT Outlook: US Bond Yields (Update).

IT_PIVOTCHARTS = BEAR
30Yr Yields have turned down in WEEKLY charts.

PIVOTCHARTS usually turn before MOMENTUM, so this weakness in yields/strength in bonds should be watched, to see if there if there is a negative effect in equities.

USZ3/YHZ3 traded above 108-04

Looking to buy bonds when HOURLY charts get to o/sold levels and at support. YH is an illiquid pile of #$@! so beware.

-macavity



To: macavity who wrote (755)10/25/2003 9:45:43 AM
From: macavity  Respond to of 1017
 
IT Outlook: US Bond Yields.

IT Outlook: #NA/BEARISH from BULLISH
BEARISH while below IT_PVTHIGHS

IT_PVTCHARTS= BEAR.
IT_MOMENTUM = #NA.
IT_TRENDOSCILLATORS = MIDRANGE. (Could be in a range or consolidation pattern)

IT_CHARTS:

MO PVT PVTHIGH PVTLOW
$FVX BULL BEAR 34.07 31.21
$TNX #N/A BEAR 44.47 42.07
$TYX #N/A BEAR 52.87 50.97



The surprise of the week - for me - Bonds ticked up.
They are either going sideways (from the oscillator) after their post-Iraq decline, or are on the verge of rising.
I feel that sentiment is not BULLISH for bonds, so awaiting momentum to confirm this.
There is a possibility that we may be forming some sort of consolidation or something.

LT_CHARTS are BEARISH for 10 and 30 Yr yields - both LT_MOMENTUM and LT_PVTCHARTS.

Will find out more soon this week I am sure.

-macavity