We did talk about total corporation tax receipts last week. On that, more below.
But the statement I took exception to was this one:
"Our total receipts are not that high, in fact I discovered recently that we are at 93-95 levels in total tax receipts now."
Message 19454361
That's false. By a lot.
As for the corporation tax, the State of California line items that in its LAO reports:
lao.ca.gov
The 5.708 Billion number is correct for 1994-95. The number the LAO reports for 2001-02 is slightly higher than the one you report, but in the same ballpark. But that's the only comparison you can draw where the revenue from the corporation tax is below 1994-95 levels. In every other year since 1994-95 it has been above that level (I believe the last number in this sequence is an estimate):
1994-95: $5,708,000,000 1995-96: $5,862,241,000 1996-97: $5,786,986,000 1997-98: $5,836,627,000 1998-99: $5,724,002,000 1999-00: $6,638,762,000 2000-01: $6,899,302,000 2001-02: $5,333,025,000 2002-03: $6,700,000,000 2003-04: $7,035,000,000
So if you pick out that one, aberrational data point from 2001-02 you can argue that revenues from the corporation tax declined. Pick any other data point and it's a tougher argument. Maybe you think that's a valid way to interpret statistics. I don't. Especially if you take a longer term view, which I did when we discussed the issue last week:
Message 19449311
Excerpt:
Corporation Tax (Fiscal year ending ... , in thousands)
1951: 98,245 1952: 120,127 1953: 119,127 1954: 125,026 1955: 133,661 1956: 157,088 1957: 167,431 1958: 173,599 1959: 174,003 1960: 240,735 1961: 272,718 1962: 290,870 1963: 311,251 1964: 405,431 1965: 416,247 1966: 435,597 1967: 453,292 1968: 576,874 1969: 592,303 1970: 587,013 1971: 532,091 1972: 662,522 1973: 866,117 1974: 1,057,191 1975: 1,253,673 1976: 1,286,515 1977: 1,641,500 1978: 2,082,208 1979: 2,381,223 1980: 2,510,039 1981: 2,730,624 1982: 2,648,735 1983: 2,536,011 1984: 3,231,281 1985: 3,664,593 1986: 3,843,024 1987: 4,800,843 1988: 4,776,388 1989: 5,138,009 1990: 4,964,842 1991: 4,545,384 1992: 4,537,964 1993: 4,777,319 1994: 4,787,474 1995: 5,716,603 1996: 5,862,327 1997: 5,788,774 1998: 5,837,426 1999: 5,724,035 2000: 6,638,762 2001: 6,899,302 2002: 5,333,036 2003: 6,700,011 2004: 7,035,011
California's revenue from the Corporation Tax has increased in 43 of the past 54 years. The average increase in the years it has gone up dwarfs the average decrease. It has increased by decade dramatically:
1951: $98,245,000 1960: $240,735,000 1970: $587,013,000 1980: $2,510,039,000 1990: $4,964,842,000 2000: $6,638,762,000
Incidentally, inflation is only a small part of the story of these increases. Using the CPI Inflation Calculator (http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/cpicalc.pl), $100 in 1951 is the equivalent of $712.31 in 2003, an increase of 712.31 percent.
If you increase the California revenue from the Corporation Tax by the rate of inflation from 1951 to 2003, the revenue level from the corporation tax would be $699,808,960 in 2003. In fact, it was $6,700,011,000, or nearly ten times as high in real terms as it was in 1951.
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