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Strategies & Market Trends : Group Theories -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: macavity who wrote (793)11/5/2003 11:53:36 AM
From: macavity  Respond to of 1017
 
Intraday : US Equity Indices.

ST_PVTLOWS have been breached.
However ST2_TRENDOSCILLATORS are o/sold and there is a likelihood that we rally intraday from here.

ST1_TRENDSTRENGTH is now effectively zero for the $SPX and weak bullish for $NDX.

[Famous last words]
Due to the weakness of ST1_TRENDSTRENGTH I feel it likely that the short-term top is in and that we will not re-test the highs - 1060 - from these levels.
We would need to retreat lower first for a successful rally, or move sideways for the coming 3 - 5 days.
Next stop I reckon will be EMA55, familiar support.
$SPX~1027/6
$NDX~1370/65

N.B
If this is an ST top then this rally from EMA55 on DAILY charts would have taken just 6 days.
The one before took 11 and before that 23 days.
Rallies are getting weaker and weaker.
This is no real (new) issue as it is simply a manifestation of the bearish momentum divergence that has been with this rally for the past 4 months.
[/Famous last words]

Short NQ and talking my book - as usual!
Will add to short if it rallies to my sell limit,
Got my stops in! Fingers crossed!


-macavity