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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (119155)	11/11/2003 10:40:20 AM
From: Sun Tzu	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

> BEFORE SUMMER 2005, MAYBE JANUARY 2006, THE HOUSE OF SAUD WILL DISINTEGRATE I find it equally if not more likely that the House of Saud will give in to the internal pressures and give greater support to the fundamentalists in order to maintain power. The US may then choose to take over the oil fields (a possibility over which the neocons have been drooling over). Beyond that the sequence of events is very unpredictable.

To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (119155)	11/11/2003 10:45:26 AM
From: carranza2	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

You just might be right about SA, JW, though the radicals made a huge mistake when they targeted Arabs in the latest bit of terror. I think you would enjoy Baer's book, Sleeping with the Enemy. SA is an extremely fragile polity. The analogies to Iran in the 1970s are quite scary.