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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: carranza2 who wrote (119180)	11/11/2003 12:08:13 PM
From: Sun Tzu	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

> do you think the present "internal" instability in SA is going to be only relevant to SA? Aside from its short term effects on oil prices, yes. Should the House of Saud fall and the country disintegrate into Shia region with oil and Wahabbi region with the shrines, I don't see it spilling over into other countries. The new government in Saudi, should that happen (and it will not happen over night), will not be keen in invading neighboring countries. Nor do they have land disputes with their neighbors to make them go to war over. In short yes it will cause some instability in the region. But no it is far from portraying it as a match near a gun powder keg. > Is it a reason to abandon Iraq? In an by itself no. But I do think it is enough reason to get rid of the neocons.