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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William H Huebl who wrote (67349)11/14/2003 12:47:47 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 94695
 
Me too. That's why now I'm getting very long-dated puts. When we
finally tank, these will go up exponentially on higher VIX. I think
longer dated puts are actually much better than short-dated ones.
Time premium does not evaporate, it may even increase.



To: William H Huebl who wrote (67349)11/14/2003 12:55:25 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 94695
 
The market moves have been very sharp. Bonds and stocks react directly
to Fed stimulus, such as repos (see the last few days - a coupon pass,
then a bunch of long-term and short-term repos). So, bonds are correlated
with stocks now, that's new. And, bonds and stocks recently are moving
opposite to the dollar. That's something new, too. I don't think this can last
too long. But the fact that stock and bond movement is now correlated is
interesting - are they preparing to take a plunge together? -g-

Now, look at gold - it's licking 400 level.