To: American Spirit who wrote (502398 ) 12/3/2003 8:46:16 AM From: Raymond Duray Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 769670 DEAN RETAKES IOWA LEAD! -- Zogby International... Latest.. zogby.com Released: December 02, 2003 Dean Regains Slight Iowa Lead in Neck and Neck Race With Gephardt, 26% - 22%; Kerry 3rd in Single Digits in Latest Zogby International Poll With less than seven weeks remaining until Iowa’s January 19 caucus vote, Former Vermont Governor Dr. Howard Dean has re-taken a slight lead in his quest for the Democratic presidential nomination. In December 1- 2 polling of 500 likely Iowa caucus voters by Zogby International, Dean jumped back ahead of Missouri Congressman Richard Gephardt, the earlier Iowa front-runner, 26% - 22%, yet within the poll’s margin of statistical error. Massachusetts Senator John Kerry was third with 9%, followed by North Carolina Senator John Edwards at 5%. Nearly three in ten (28%) remain undecided, providing some hope for the trailing candidates. **Lieberman and Clark recently announced that they would not campaign in Iowa Polling was conducted by Zogby International from its Call Center in Utica, and has a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points. Error margins are higher in sub-groups. Dean is the favorite of both Democrats (27%) and Independents (21%)who intend to vote in Iowa’s primary. Gephardt trails him with 23% of Democratic support and 18% of Independents. Union members favor Gephardt nearly 2-1 over Dean, 34% - 18%, while non-union households favor Dean by nearly the same margin, 32% - 15%. North Carolina Senator John Edwards hung on to fourth place in Iowa at 5%. Retired General Wesley Clark earned 4% while Connecticut Senator Joseph Lieberman fell to 2%, joining Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich. Former Illinois Senator Carol Mosley Braun and civil rights activist Rev. Al Sharpton each received 1% or less. Lieberman and Clark announced earlier that they would not campaign in Iowa, but their names will remain on the January ballot. Dean leads with self-described progressives (38%) and liberals (30%), while Gephardt is favored by moderates (25%) and conservatives (22%). Dean has replaced Gephardt with the highest ‘favorable’ status, which Gephardt had enjoyed in three earlier polls in Iowa.. More than half (53%) of the respondents said it is somewhat or very likely that President George W. Bush will be re-elected, regardless of how they vote, while 43% think a Democratic candidate will prevail. In April polling, 61% felt Bush would be re-elected. More than a third (35%) say they like Bush as a person, while half (51%) say they dislike him. A plurality (45%) think it is important that the Democratic Party nominate a presidential candidate who opposed the war in Iraq, while 31% think their standard bearer should be someone who supported the warm. Nearly one-fourth (24%) is not sure. More than three-fourths (77%) would support a Democrat who supported the war versus 6% who would support President Bush. More than half (56%) think it is more important to nominate a candidate who stands up for what he or she believes, compared to 37% who would nominate a candidate who could defeat Bush. The Iowa polling is part of Zogby International’s “Road to Boston” series, following the Democratic presidential hopefuls in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, and nationally as a run-up to the Democratic nominating convention in Boston in July 2004. Methodology: zogby.com