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Gold/Mining/Energy : Precious and Base Metal Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: yard_man who wrote (25112)12/6/2003 8:14:50 PM
From: Cogito Ergo Sum  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 39344
 
those commodity prices already float with respect to our currency. Yes and of course the trend is down for now which is evident by plotting ratios of gold or oil against other currencies. Gold down, oil down.. purchasing power up...

But
"re-pricing" their commodity exports in terms of euros or renimbi ? While technically moot it is tantamount to an attack on the reserve status of the USD no ? Psychologically speaking that provokes a lot of uncertainty which is sure not good for markets. Even up here we can see signs which may be isolated for now.. 25% of its current net daily crude oil production for the period January 1 to June 30, 2004 at a fixed price of Cdn$39.30 per barrel.
biz.yahoo.com

I think many folks still see the USD like they did Nortel @ 70$ Canadian... it's gonna come back.... Someday it will...

Regards the renimbi isn't that truly moot until they decouple.

Part of the problem with reading Coxe is that you need to read him regularly. Once isn't really the whole effect. He's more like an old time radio serial...

gold can still rise against currencies in general it has to or it's just a US problem in the end and I'm ultimately wasting my time.... We already know that gold has been a crappy investment for much of the world this last year.. Good reason to have some energy trusts paying you to wait which we'll need notwithstanding....
regards
Kastel



To: yard_man who wrote (25112)12/9/2003 12:54:00 AM
From: aknahow  Respond to of 39344
 
"he makes too much of comparing one months GDP number to Fed funds -- Contrary has better handle on Fed funds vs. levels of growth."

i don't think his point was so much the 8 to 1 ratio produced by the latest "growth" but rather that fed funds normally trade at a premium to the growth rate.

And he mentioned the problem that would be encountered by holders of longer term debt even at a slight premium to 3 or 4% growth.