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Politics : WHO IS RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT IN 2004 -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Raymond Duray who wrote (7165)	12/8/2003 11:03:01 AM
From: American Spirit	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 10965

At this point, Al Gore is the most likely nominee because I think we're headed for a deadlocked convention. deanes will try to claim the crown but won't have more than 25% of the delegates representing mainly the idealistic far left part of the party. Closely contested nominations are never completely democratic as players can horse trade and endorse each other, teaming up against others, etc. Coaluition building is what it's called and it's done in all democracies. On very simple terms, Dean is threatening to take the party away from the centrists including the Clintons. He is also not a strong candidate against Bush on paper. That means he won't get the nomination unless millions of moderates start embracing Dean-Dean-Dean. That is Dean's only hope, to totally dominate and win over everyone. Dean hasn't even gotten the estabishment liberals behind him yet. Pelosi isn't backing him for instance. He's an upstart, a high-risk play, an unknown. What revelations are in his hidden governor's papers? What if he wrote a letter supporting gay marriage or legalizing drugs? What if he was busted for LSD in 1972? There's a lot we don't know about Dean. He hasn't even been scrutinized yet. That's just beginning now.