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Politics : Just the Facts, Ma'am: A Compendium of Liberal Fiction -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (2080)	12/9/2003 2:20:51 PM
From: MrLucky	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 90947

What about MO? Is that a labor state or what is there? Went to GWB last time by 3 points in spite of Democratic late-night shenanigans in St. Louis. The unemployment roles have declined for the past five months. Everyone's must be drinking Busch's beer.

To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (2080)	12/9/2003 3:26:42 PM
From: Original Mad Dog	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 90947

I think Ohio is very anti-Bush. Ohioans, in the most recent statewide poll I could find (from a couple months ago), apparently approve of President Bush over all of the Democratic hopefuls: ipr.uc.edu Specifically: -- Bush has a higher "net favorability rating" (percentage with favorable opinion of candidate minus percentage with unfavorable opinion) at +20%. No Democratic candidate except Lieberman had a net favorability rating above +10%. Howard Dean's was only +1%, meaning nearly as many people view him unfavorably as view him favorably. My own belief, as someone who has always lived in the Midwest, is that Dean does not resonate well with voters here generally. -- Bush led every potential Dem candidate by at least 14 percentage points (Gephardt was closest, and Bush led him 55 to 41 in the poll) -- Bush's margin over Howard Dean was nearly 20 percent (57-38) The link supplied above has much more detail. Bush's September numbers were down substantially from his numbers before the Iraq war, but nevertheless he was viewed more favorably by Ohio voters than any other candidate. It wasn't even close.