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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pezz who wrote (43391)12/15/2003 10:59:29 PM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 74559
 
I need to do a better selling here.



To: pezz who wrote (43391)12/16/2003 3:24:40 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Pezz, Today’s Report: is easy. All I need to do is copy the material from the Report from yesterday Message 19596639 and edit here and there:

I added another dollop of each of the following, which, together wither earlier purchases, bring my China energy positions to tranche strength:

(a) China National Offshore finance.yahoo.com at HKD 15.9/shr
(b) Petro China finance.yahoo.com at HKD 3.40/shr
(c) Sinopec finance.yahoo.com at HKD 2.75/shr, and
(d) Yanzhou Coal finance.yahoo.com at HKD 7.20/shr

My reasoning is again simple, commodity inflation is on full steam in China, and now, an added reason, because the city-slicker HK crowds do not yet understand ;0)

I think the Chinese oil companies will benefit because they buy from overseas and sell in China (keep price high), especially good if Iraq production causes world oil price to decline; and if not, commodity inflation is on in any case.

I had just arrived in HK home, checked the stock prices 5 minutes before market closed, puzzled, and checked market news update as attached here, and decided to bet against the HK city-slicker crowds who appears to be not thinking right (see bold sections).

Either they deserve to have their money taken from them or I deserve to lose mine:

Tuesday, December 16, 2003
Hong Kong shares close morning lower
ANETTE JÖNSSON and AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE
markets.scmp.com
Last updated at 2.28pm:
Hong Kong share prices closed 1.03 per cent lower Tuesday as sentiment was dampened by worries other blue chips might make share offerings after Bank of China’s large placement, dealers said.

The key Hang Seng Index lost 128.36 points to close the morning at 12,391.81.

On Monday, the key Hang Seng Index shed 119.32 points to 12,400.85 shortly after trading started.

The market opened at a new year high of more than 12,700 points yesterday on positive sentiment following the capture of Saddam Hussein and high hopes for Great Wall Automobile's debut, but news of two share placements, including a massive one in BOC Hong Kong, sent prices gradually lower.

By the end of the day, the Hang Seng Index had declined 0.59 per cent to 12,520.17 points, having underperformed all the other major equity markets in the region.

Turnover remained heavy at $17.77 billion as investors took the opportunity to cash out hefty profits accumulated in recent months.

"It may not be a bad idea to take some shine off the market as it was getting a bit too speculative," the head of equity sales at one investment bank said.

He noted that the market was already trading at fair values and the last leg of the upward trend had been mainly liquidity-driven.

Great Wall failed to copy the 50 per cent gain achieved by PICC Property and Casualty on its first day of trading, despite massive demand for the initial public offering (IPO). After opening 65.41 per cent higher at $22, Great Wall fell back to close at $17.05 - 28.19 per cent above the IPO price.

"It was a bit of a disappointment, but then again there were a lot of placements hurting sentiment," said Steve Hon, a broker with Emperor Securities.

Profit taking was strongest in China-related stocks, especially in the core constituents of the H-share index, which had risen 124 per cent this year before losing 3.87 per cent yesterday.

The red-chip index fell 2.39 per cent on the day.

Oil producers were among the top losers after the capture of former Iraqi leader Saddam increased the possibility that Iraq would resume oil exports, which would put downward pressure on prices.

China's largest offshore oil producer CNOOC fell 6.26 per cent to end at $16.45, PetroChina dropped 4.22 per cent to $3.40 and Sinopec finished 4.34 per cent lower at $2.75.


Blue-chip stocks suffered relatively less as most people were expecting next year to be another good one for Hong Kong equities, said Joseph Lau, a director with Tai Fook Asset Management.

Mr Lau projected the Hang Seng Index would add a further 10 to 15 per cent by the middle of next year.

Bank of East Asia fell 3.77 per cent to HK$24.25, hurt by a US$1.89 billion placement of shares by BOCHK's parent.

BOCHK shares were placed at HK$13.70 each, or a 12.2 per cent discount to the latest closing price, which analysts considered large but reasonable given the huge size. Trading in BOCHK was suspended.

At Oriental Press, the controlling shareholder sold 5 per cent of its stake in the publisher of two of Hong Kong's top three Chinese-language newspapers to raise $306 million.

The placements put pressure on the market, with investors worrying that more would be coming as firms tried to take advantage of the strong gains in share prices, which could soak up some of the liquidity in the market, said Kingston Lee, the head of Hong Kong and China research at ING Financial Markets.

HSBC finished unchanged at $119.50 as its position as a global bank enabled it to benefit from expectations that Saddam's capture would give a positive boost to the United States economy.


Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (43391)12/16/2003 9:31:26 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Pezz, Report from European Front:

I airlifted some rapid deployment troops to Norway, opening a new front against inflation, and bought a tranche of Golar LNG ( golargas.com ), the only pure play I know of for LNG transport based in Norway finance.yahoo.com at NOK 86.5433. A cyber pal from London pointed the way, and he does lurk on this eclectic thread of ours.

Golar LNG is traded in the US as well uk.finance.yahoo.com .

Yes, it has doubled in the past 12 months, but I just had to have it, as if driven, as if I am collecting coins or stamps :0)

Now my virtual shipping company has:

uk.finance.yahoo.com
uk.finance.yahoo.com
uk.finance.yahoo.com
uk.finance.yahoo.com

... aproper blend of current income, diversity and scale, and future prospects ;0)

Chugs, Jay



To: pezz who wrote (43391)12/18/2003 3:26:04 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
OK, pezz, I will contribute to the NRA and will write positive about them. How about that as a credentials to get into the deep freeze?