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To: diana g who wrote (28470)12/24/2003 10:56:03 AM
From: quehubo  Respond to of 206121
 
Yes nice to hear from you diana. Yes that article was positive. I am an optimist by nature and have high hopes for Iraq over the next 20 years.

Happy Holidays.

The oil data today was good IMO, one more week with no large import volumes, strong demand and no build in inventory totals.



To: diana g who wrote (28470)12/26/2003 3:36:24 PM
From: el_gaviero  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 206121
 
Diana,
I’m surprised you give credence to the piece by Stratfor. It is very likely disinformation put out by people who have their own interests at heart, and care little about the United States.

Saddam’s capture is a negative, for the simple reason that Shites (and Kurds too for that matter) can now enter the fray, knowing that success will not lead to his return.

Iraq is now like a country facing an election in which there is no incumbent, but with this difference: the winner will not be determined by votes but by means traditional to the region – power struggle, low level warfare, quality of leadership, cruelty.

There is no reason to suppose that guerrilla forces opposing the Americans are Baathists. Rather, they are loosely coordinated groups, pursuing various agendas, united in only one particular: a desire to get the Americans out.

I think the best way to view the situation is to understand that we Americans in Mesopotamia are essentially irrelevant. We will stay until tired of losing men and money, then we will go, and the people there will sort themselves out.

The only way that we can change this, and make ourselves relevant, is to resort to terror on a mass scale and genocide. I don’t think we have reached that place yet.