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Strategies & Market Trends : Natural Resource Stocks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mac who wrote (5673)12/30/2003 9:58:58 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 108556
 
amazing how clowns still maintain US$ decline is good for US corporations and our economy
simply amazing

what most economists and market pundits overlook is that the US Economy is predominantly a financial speculation entity, with the financial sector dominating, with asset inflation supporting most spending, with the real economy shrinking constantly, and the whole enchilada underpinned by massive debt

$5 BILLION PER DAY OF FOREIGN MONEY IS NEEDED TO KEEP THINGS GOING
for trade gap fill
for federal deficit finance
for mortgage supply

currency traders are a very smart bunch
they dont buy the nonsense about exporter advantage and multinational exchange rate benefits

they point to low competitive interest rates
and to yawning, not improving trade gaps
and to expanding federal deficits
the entire US economic system will continue to function ONLY IF foreign capital continues to flow in and be attracted to flow in
the critical factors are all unfavorable
and our crippled US$ currency will go a long long way down, far below what most believe is its equilibrium point
currencies do that, and stay 20% below that figure for a good 2-3 years longer than experts anticipate

SO THE USDOLLAR PLUNGES IN SLOW MOTION
by summertime, the panic will have its seeds germinating
maybe by autumn
perhaps not until late in the 2004 year

man oh man, economists and pundits have a lot to learn in the next 18 months
when the monetary crisis unfolds
/ jim