SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RealMuLan who wrote (44115)12/31/2003 12:03:40 PM
From: Ramsey Su  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
hmmmm, not a guy and obviously cannot speak Cantonese .....

those sites are pretty good, I have read different versions of same before. That kind of confirms my believe that no one can answer that question quantitatively. Everyone is just kind of guessing.

I believe China was in the process of addressing the issues at her own pace, when all of the sudden the pressure was on for them to float, re peg, or whatever with the RMB.

Now China has to hurry and figure out indeed what is the magnitude of their "bad debt" problem. That is why I opine that no one has the answer because depending on how the Chinese government addresses the problem, it could be big or it could be nothing.

In the mean time, it is certain that we would all wake up one morning and find out what they have already done, not what they are going to do.