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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: nspolar who wrote (35129)	1/10/2004 1:38:44 AM
From: Yogizuna	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 36161

Buying more puts on Monday. BKX stuff. Hopefully EBAY pops one more time, if it does I buy some more there as well. I don't think I lose on these puts. I'm buying mostly in the money, but out in time. Generally speaking, that is the best way to play options in my opinion, because while it cuts down on leverage a bit, the odds are improved you can gain some profits before expiration time.... I have seen so many lose a lot of bucks in the last 20+ years playing with short term options, which almost require perfection in timing to succeed.

To: nspolar who wrote (35129)	1/10/2004 5:28:40 PM
From: rolatzi	Respond to of 36161

The january effect, seasonal and four year cycles are all arguing for a continuation of the intermediate trend up. On average January, April July and August are strong up months, February and March slightly negative and May more negative. The Pre-election year (2003) year and election year are strongest on the four year cycle (up 69% of the time). Broken down into quarters, the first two quarters account for most of the gain of the year. As far as energy stocks are concerned, over the last ten years the average monthly performance is positive until the end of May. All this argues that the market is likely to hold up fairly well for at least the first half of this year. Ro