To: PROLIFE who wrote (522118 ) 1/10/2004 1:59:20 PM From: Kenneth E. Phillipps Read Replies (6) | Respond to of 769670 NEWSWEEK POLL: Campaign 2004 Saturday January 10, 1:23 pm ET Dean Holds Big Lead Over Dems; Gephardt, Kerry Move Up; 43 Percent Of Voters Say Dean Too Liberal To Defeat Bush; Split On Whether He Has The Right Temperament 48 Percent Of Voters Want To See Bush Re-Elected, 46 Percent Do Not; 51 Percent Disapprove Of Immigration Proposal NEW YORK, Jan. 10 /PRNewswire/ -- Democratic frontrunner Howard Dean is holding his lead against the field of Democratic presidential challengers with 24 percent of the vote of registered Democrats and Democratic leaners, according to the latest Newsweek Poll. Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt and Ret. Gen. Wesley Clark are tied for second with 12 percent each -- a seven-point jump from the Dec. 18-19 Newsweek Poll for Gephardt. Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry gets 11 percent of the vote (a 5-point jump from the December poll) and Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman gets seven percent, the poll shows. ADVERTISEMENT Dean also leads the pack of Democratic contenders as the candidate Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters believe is most likely to defeat President George W. Bush if nominated (33% say so); as the candidate who would do the best job managing the economy and creating jobs (27%); who best represents their views on Bush's Iraq policy and the decision to go to war (26%) and who best represents their values and concerns (28%). Clark leads as the candidate who would do the best job leading the war on terrorism (26%). Forty-eight percent of registered voters say they'd like to see Bush re-elected to another term as president while 46 percent say they would not. With the margin of error, the two groups are in a statistical dead heat. But it's the first time since the July 24-25, 2003 Newsweek Poll Bush re-election supporters outnumber those who oppose re-election. In a sign of how deeply divided the country is, voters on both sides feel strongly. Of the 48 percent who support re-election, 40 percent strongly support it (8% do not strongly support it); of the 46 percent who do not support it, 41 percent strongly oppose it (5% do not strongly oppose it). Bush's overall job approval rating was 54 percent, the same from the Dec. 18-19, 2003 Newsweek Poll. In test match-ups against the Democratic contenders, Bush's lead from the December poll, which was taken the week Saddam Hussein was captured, has decreased against the Democratic frontrunners, but increased against most of the lagging candidates. Among registered voters, 50 percent say they would vote for or lean toward voting for Bush, compared to 43 percent who say they would vote for or lean toward voting for Gephardt. (In the December 18-19, Newsweek Poll, Bush led Gephardt by 16 points). Bush leads Dean with 51 percent, compared to 43 percent for Dean. (In the last poll, Bush led Dean by 13 points). Against Clark, Bush gets 50 percent v. 41 percent for Clark. (In December, Bush led Clark by 12 points.). Kerry trails Bush 41 percent v. 52 percent (Bush has increased his lead against Kerry by one point since the December poll); and Lieberman trails 41 percent v. 52 percent. Of registered voters polled, 43 percent say Dean is too liberal to defeat Bush if he's the Democratic candidate; 30 percent say he's not too liberal. Fifty-five percent of Republicans say Dean is too liberal; 38 percent of Independents say so (31% do not) and Democrats are divided (40% say he is not too liberal to beat Bush, 36% say he is). Thirty-six percent of registered voters say Dean has the kind of temperament to make a good president; 39 percent say he does not. Approval for Bush's handling of the situation in Iraq was 50 percent in the current poll, down from 53 percent in the December 18-19, 2003 Newsweek Poll. This week, Bush announced plans to reform the country's immigration policy, which would grant temporary legal status to immigrants who are working in the U.S. illegally. In the current poll, 51 percent disapprove of Bush's immigration policy. Among registered voters, 51 percent say the immigration proposal makes them less likely to vote to re-elect him. Forty-eight percent of Americans polled disapprove of the way Bush is handling the economy (46% approve) and 53 percent disapprove of how he's handling the federal budget deficit (32% approve). Bush gets high marks (70%) for his policies to prevent and minimize terrorism at home and 48 percent approve of how he's handling foreign policy in general. While 52 percent of registered voters say the amount of money the U.S. is spending to rebuild postwar Iraq makes them less likely to vote for Bush, 53 percent say the capture of former Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein makes them more likely to vote for him. Fifty-three percent of those polled say they do not think Americans are safe and more secure because of Saddam's capture; 43 percent say they do. Americans are split on whether or not a Democratic president would handle the economy better than Bush-41 percent say yes, 42 percent say no-and whether or not a Democratic president would handle the country's foreign policy better than Bush-41 percent say yes, 45 percent say no-the poll shows. For this Newsweek Poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates International interviewed 1,001 adults aged 18 and older on January 8-9, 2004. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. This poll is part of the January 19 issue of Newsweek (on newsstands Monday, January 12). (Read Newsweek's news releases at www.Newsweek.MSNBC.com.Click "Pressroom" at the bottom of the page.)