SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gpowell who wrote (17079)2/10/2004 2:35:22 PM
From: Elroy JetsonRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Everything will be revealed in the fullness of time. Everyone places their bets based on their interpretation of events and then you get to see if you're right.

"Total Credit Market Debt" home.pacbell.net

Personally I believe the chart above tells the story. You can use debt to borrow demand from the future, and then even further from the future . . . until there's a lack of confidence in repayment by the lenders, or until debtor's incomes simply can't accommodate further debt service. Essentially, Japan is currently funding our spending. Will a falling dollar make them suddenly decide to cut off further credit?

According to Austrian economics, excessive debt (aka lack or destruction of capital) is what causes economic depressions. I think this describes the chart above.