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To: TobagoJack who wrote (46696)2/26/2004 5:54:29 AM
From: gumnam  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Jay

I am told that now or starting soon you can open fixed deposit bank accounts in the remnimbi in HK banks and they pay about 2% interest for 1 year deposits. Thus you become long remnimbi for 1 year and short USD and earn 2%. In the external currency fwd markets to buy remnimbi on a one year fwd basis costs you around 6%. So if you sell remnimbi fwd for 1 year you earn 6%.

If you open a 1year fixed rate deposit at your bank and at the same time buy USD fwd in the currency markets, you can lock about 8% return with no currency view- the main risk being the HK bank you have selected defaults on you within 1 year.

What do you think?

Cheers
Gumnam