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Non-Tech : The Woodshed -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: NOW who wrote (1572)3/1/2004 5:09:25 AM
From: crustyoldprospector  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 60926
 
tooearly,

Your $ chart looks like what our woodchopper is thinking <g>. Actually, it is a pretty good interpretation, and if I can add on, the suggestion would be that the area around 88-89 is the end of iv. Certainly, it is a possibility, and the dollar is pulling back a bit this morning.

However, I'm still looking for the dollar to hit the 91.5 area. Maybe we see the action going like: A=89, B=86.5, C=91.5. Can that fit into your interpretation?

FWIW, on the larger view going back to the all-time high in 2001, my count would show your 1 as a i of 3.

Depending on how things pan-out, in an extreme case, we may look at the second touch of 84.7 as being a failed v of 5, and a retrace of 38% from the all-time highs beginning now with a move to around 99 in the cards. If the world economy goes in the tank, I think a lot of folks will be happy with dollars. Anyone thinking the dollar is a one-way bet will someday be disappointed.

By the way, we could still see gold rise on a move to USD=99, so long as it rises in all currencies. I think that may happen, too.

Regards,

crusty