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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: mishedlo who wrote (9808)	3/9/2004 3:46:15 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 110194

where do you expect crude oil to be on May1st, July1st, Sept1st, Dec1st ??? just curious I anticipate $40 by July1st but for it to back off by end of year as the economies begin a recession / jim

To: mishedlo who wrote (9808)	3/10/2004 3:22:51 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Respond to of 110194

they reopen a mine in Indonesia, and I assume there was also hedge fund selling

To: mishedlo who wrote (9808)	3/10/2004 7:46:06 AM
From: russwinter	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 110194

<By the time the PPI matters it might be headed south.> Nothing's changed fundamentally with these commodities, and there won't be a change until Asian production severely collapses from shortages, as the Train Wreck runs it's course. biz.yahoo.com You see, unlike the fictional "markets" (currencies, interest rates) that you follow, these input goods markets are the real thing, the truth serum. They really can't be manipulated, and you can't print copper, crude, or even cotton. That said, because there is a large speculator position in them, there will be bouts of volatility and profit taking, making it unlikely that they can go up 1% a day. Instead they will make up for this "correction", by going up 2-3% a day, in a week or two.