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Gold/Mining/Energy : Precious and Base Metal Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Stephen O who wrote (29093)4/14/2004 6:46:25 PM
From: TheSlowLane  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 39344
 
The physical inventory and demand issues are the things that have kept me in the base metal stocks. Interesting point about Gartman. Richard Russell has likewise been referring to the copper "top" as a sign that confirms his view that there will be a flight from all assets into the dollar (initially, then at some point gold). But Russell has not addressed the issue of physical inventory. Russ Winter, on the other hand, has been keeping close track of a cornucopia of commodities and has pegged tin as the first metal that will get to zero inventory. And of course you've been keeping us apprised of the daily play by play on copper. It would be less stressful if I was betting someone else's money but I have not been able to arrange that.



To: Stephen O who wrote (29093)4/16/2004 10:00:59 AM
From: Stephen O  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 39344
 
Copper is up 3c today. If this price holds Gartman will be covering his short.

Copper Futures Rise After Report of Increase in Housing Starts

By Claudia Carpenter
April 16 (Bloomberg) -- Copper futures in New York had their
biggest gain in a month after U.S. housing starts last month rose
more than expected, signaling more demand for the metal.
Builders started work on new homes at an annual pace of
2.007 million in March, up 6.4 percent, the Commerce Department
in Washington said. Economists expected a pace of 1.9 million,
the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey. An average home
contains 400 pounds of copper, according to industry estimates.
Copper for May delivery rose 2.35 cents, or 1.8 percent, to
$1.312 a pound at 8:52 a.m. on the Comex division of the New York
Mercantile Exchange. A close at that price would mark the biggest
one-day gain for a most-active contract since March 15. Prices
are up about 25 percent this year.
On the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in three
months rose $40 to $2,885 a metric ton ($1.309 a pound).

--Editors: Stroth, McKiernan, Stroth.