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To: LindyBill who wrote (39729)4/16/2004 3:50:41 AM
From: LindyBill  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793841
 
The NRA gets ready to kick some butt. Democrats have learned to their sorrow that opposing them can hurt.

April 16, 2004
THE GUN GROUP
N.R.A. Opens an All-Out Drive for Bush and Its Views
By JAMES DAO - NYT

PITTSBURGH, April 15 — When the National Rifle Association opens its annual meeting here on Friday, it will do more than celebrate hunting, weaponry and the Second Amendment. It will also kick off a vigorous campaign to whip up support among its nearly four million members for President Bush's re-election.

Before tens of thousands of gun owners at the Pittsburgh Convention Center, the association's leadership plans to label Mr. Bush's likely Democratic opponent, Senator John Kerry of Massachusetts, as a liberal threat to gun ownership. It is a message they will repeat again and again until Election Day, using the Internet, mailings, television advertising and their formidable nationwide network of gun clubs.

"What you see in John Kerry," Wayne LaPierre, the association's executive vice president said in an interview this week, "is a politician that spent his life voting against the Second Amendment. What I see is the same thing I saw in Michael Dukakis and Al Gore. It's an elitist arrogance."

It is no accident, N.R.A. officials said, that this year's convention is being held in Pittsburgh. Two-thirds of the attendees are expected to come from within a 100-mile radius that spans three battleground states: Pennsylvania, which voted for Mr. Gore in 2000, and Ohio and West Virginia, which voted for Mr. Bush.

"These are states where the N.R.A. can make a difference," said G. Terry Madonna, director of the Keystone Poll at Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster, Pa.

At the convention, the association also plans to unveil plans for an N.R.A. news company that would produce programs for the Internet, radio and possibly television, Mr. LaPierre said. A daily Internet news talk show featuring a conservative host will begin broadcasting online on Friday. The association hopes to announce acquisition of a radio station within two months, he said.

Creating a private news company would allow the association to disseminate its gun-rights views without having to follow new federal campaign finance restrictions, which prohibit the use of unlimited "soft money" close to a presidential or Congressional election, Mr. LaPierre said. The association and other groups challenged those restrictions, but lost.

"We have every bit as much a right to provide news and information to the American public as Disney has through ABC, Time-Warner has through CNN and News Corporation does through Fox," Mr. LaPierre said. "If you own the outlet, you can say whatever you want. This an act of defiance, but it is completely in keeping with the law."

The boost from the rifle association also comes at an opportune time for Mr. Bush, who is facing unexpectedly sharp criticism from some gun rights activists for his position on a federal ban of assault weapons.

The president has said he would sign legislation renewing the 1994 law that bans 19 types of semiautomatic weapons. That almost certainly will not happen this year because of opposition to the legislation in the Republican-controlled House. Many conservatives consider the bill a deep infringement of their rights under the Second Amendment, which they contend gives individual Americans the right to own firearms.

"Gun owners who know the issues know that Bush is all talk," said Angel Shamaya, executive director of KeepAndBearArms.com, which is encouraging gun owners to vote for anyone but Mr. Bush. "He's turned out to be a phony in so many ways, I'm embarrassed I voted for him in 2000."

The Bush campaign has begun trying to mend fences with gun groups by meeting with members and appointing liaisons to the groups in almost every state. A 27,000 member Sportsmen for Bush group has reactivated. And the president met with leaders of the N.R.A. and an array of hunting and fishing groups at his ranch in Crawford, Tex., last week.

But the White House's biggest move has been to dispatch Vice President Dick Cheney, a popular figure among gun owners, to the convention, where he will deliver the keynote speech on Saturday night.

"There is a clear choice in this election between President Bush, who is a strong supporter of the Second Amendment and bill of rights, and Senator Kerry, who has a record of weakening those rights," said Scott Stanzel, a spokesman for the Bush-Cheney campaign. On Monday, the president is scheduled to be at the Pittsburgh convention center for a campaign event for Senator Arlen Specter, Republican of Pennsylvania. Though the White House said Mr. Bush did not have plans to stop by an N.R.A. board meeting that will be going on next door, officials of the association say they hope he will, to send a strong message of support to gun owners.

Grover Norquist, an influential conservative strategist and association board member who is close to the White House, called the president's position on the assault weapon ban "a hiccup," but nevertheless a potential problem. "The president has been so good both in the campaign and in governing," Mr. Norquist said. "This is the one high profile part of the center-right coalition's agenda that they got wrong."

For its part, the rifle association will try to paint Mr. Kerry, a decorated Vietnam veteran who says he has been a lifelong hunter, as a Kennedy-style liberal who supports strong gun restrictions — a "gun grabber," in the group's lingo.

Though the association's political action committee has yet to make an endorsement in the presidential race, its support for Mr. Bush is a foregone conclusion. The association backed him in 2000.

One of the first things convention attendees will receive in Pittsburgh is the latest issue of the association's monthly magazine, which features a cover photograph of Mr. Kerry posing triumphantly with Senators Edward M. Kennedy, Charles E. Schumer and Diane Feinstein after they helped defeat legislation intended to protect the gun industry from lawsuits. The association had made the bill one of its top priorities this year.

"You talk about the four horsemen of apocalypse — that's the picture," Mr. LaPierre said.

The rifle association has also created a Web site devoted to attacking the federal ban on assault weapons, Clintongunban.com. The name of the site underscores the association's central strategy: to link Mr. Kerry to former President Bill Clinton, who remains widely reviled by conservative gun owners.

Mr. LaPierre declined to say how much the group plans to spend on campaigns this year. The association has been plagued by operating deficits, but its political action committee still has more than $4 million on hand, according to recent federal reports. In 2000, it spent $16.8 million on federal campaigns.

Clearly, the Bush administration values the rifle association's help.

At last year's N.R.A. convention in Florida, Gov. Jeb Bush, the president's brother, told members, "If it were not for your active involvement, it is safe to say that my brother would not have been elected president."

Aides to Mr. Kerry contend the association's influence has been grossly exaggerated. Most gun owners are more concerned about the economy and Iraq this year than gun control, the aides contend.

But they acknowledge that the N.R.A. was effective in defining Mr. Gore as a threat to gun owners' rights in 2000, and vowed that Mr. Kerry will be quicker to counter such assertions.

The Democrats expect to recruit labor unions to disseminate Mr. Kerry's positions on guns, and to have Mr. Kerry meet with sportsmen's groups and perhaps go hunting. Chad Clanton, a spokesman for the Kerry campaign, said Mr. Kerry intended to present himself as "a lifelong hunter and gun owner" who believes in protecting the Second Amendment but also supports "common sense" laws restricting military-style assault weapons and requiring gun-safety locks.

Copyright 2004 The New York Times Company



To: LindyBill who wrote (39729)4/16/2004 12:41:44 PM
From: JohnM  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 793841
 
Kerry tries to move right. Rove was soooo smart to define him early as an eastern liberal.
Kerry Plans Effort to Show He Is a Centrist
By JODI WILGOREN - NYT


Wilgoren's stuff is genuinely odd. I find it helps to read comparable pieces in the Washington Post. Perhaps there is a truth somewhere between them.

washingtonpost.com
Kerry Hopes to Cement Image With New Ads
As Bush Reduces Airtime, Rival Seeks to Broaden Appeal and Spread Message

By Mike Allen and Jim VandeHei
Washington Post Staff Writers
Friday, April 16, 2004; Page A01


washingtonpost.com

Sen. John F. Kerry will begin using new images to introduce himself to voters with an intensified ad blitz in the next two weeks just as President Bush scales back his media offensive, campaign advisers said yesterday.

Kerry (D-Mass.) sees the coming weeks as the unofficial beginning to his general election campaign. He is rushing to fill the vacuum that will be created when Bush cuts his ad spending in 18 battleground states by an average of one-third beginning today, while switching all his ads to an attack on Kerry.

With internal polls and focus groups showing that voters know little about his candidacy, Kerry plans a new ad campaign based on findings that voters are receptive to his military résumé and "New Democrat" message of fiscal restraint and national security might.

"A lot of people don't really know who I am," Kerry told party donors yesterday at a breakfast fundraiser in New York. "Their goal is to define me and make me unacceptable. . . . Our goal has to be to keep that acceptability."

Republican officials said they have calculated that the situation in Iraq will continue to overshadow campaign messages for at least several weeks and perhaps months. Bush strategists are using the time to reevaluate their tactics after record ad spending of $45 million over six weeks.

"The only people who are paying attention have already made up their minds," said a campaign adviser who refused to be identified so he would continue to be briefed by the campaign. "Why be out there in the middle of a war trying to talk about the gas tax? There's no way to break through Iraq right now."

Officials in both parties said that Kerry's unfavorable ratings have been driven up by the Bush attacks, which accuse the Democrat of flip-flopping on issues and favoring higher taxes, but the race remains dead even. Although Bush officials insist they never planned an $8 million-a-week ad schedule indefinitely, Democrats said they sense weakness in a campaign financial machine that they once feared.

"In this business, when what you're doing is working, you don't take your foot off the gas," said Rep. Rahm Emanuel (D-Ill.), who was political director for former president Bill Clinton.

In some ways, the candidates are switching roles. Bush, who spent months raising a record $180 million and flooded the airwaves while Kerry gained his footing as the presumptive Democratic nominee, is suddenly hoarding cash. At the same time, Kerry, who raised more than $10 million in two nights earlier this week, is setting party records almost nightly and planning to ramp up his advertising significantly.

Kerry's unexpectedly strong fundraising is altering the campaign's ad strategy. Top advisers predicted the candidate would raise about $80 million between Jan. 1 and the July convention, but now they project Kerry will easily top $100 million and perhaps near $120 million. Kerry raised $38 million in March and is on pace for a similarly strong April.

Bush had a budget of $170 million to carry him through the Republican convention at the end of August, but will report soon that he has raised more than $180 million and is continuing phone, mail and Web appeals. The campaign sent a fundraising e-mail yesterday showing Kerry with Sen. Edward M. Kennedy (D-Mass.), with the subject line: "On Tax Day, another reason to support President Bush."

After a pause of just two weeks after completing fundraisers for his campaign, Bush is going back into the money-raising business with an appearance Tuesday in New York at a $25,000-a-person reception for the Republican National Committee's "Victory 2004" program, which will help turn out voters for the Republican ticket. Officials will raise money for the fund from the Arlington office park where the Bush-Cheney campaign has its headquarters.

Federal filings compiled by the Web site PoliticalMoneyLine show that in addition to ad purchases, Bush has spent $18 million on printing, lists and mailing; $1.6 million on catering and other event costs; and $1 million on travel. The campaign has written checks for $5.2 million to Maverick Media of Austin, the firm founded by Bush media consultant Mark McKinnon.

Harold Ickes, a Clinton fundraising strategist who runs a group called the Media Fund that is buying anti-Bush ads in swing states, said he believes Bush and the Republican National Committee will wind up raising $250 million each. He said his media buyers estimate Bush has spent $53 million to $55 million on ads for broadcast and cable television and radio.

"They thought they were going to be able to lock this election up quick and have run into a real bump," Ickes said.

Matthew Dowd, Bush's chief strategist, told reporters on a conference call yesterday that the advertising had helped bring Bush even with Kerry, up from an average of five or six points down in polls on March 4, when the Bush barrage began. He said that the campaign calculated that voters would be paying a lot of attention to the race after the Democratic primaries, but that the campaign always planned to ratchet back its ad traffic.

"We had always said there was going to be ebbs and flows to this effort, and there would be windows of opportunity when the public was paying a lot of attention and then smaller amounts of attention and then little attention," Dowd said.

Although the Bush campaign is calculating that public interest in the campaign may be waning, the Kerry campaign believes voters are hungry to learn about the senator's views and biography. With fewer Bush ads to compete with, Kerry is also calculating that his ads might resonate more.

His pollsters, Mark Mellman and Tom Kiley, recently completed extensive polling and focus groups to determine the best message for Kerry to take into the November election. Based on the results, Kerry's political team is finalizing a message and political map that will guide the candidate through the early months of the campaign and into the July convention, advisers said.

The most consistent finding: Voters know little about Kerry and his vision for the country, two advisers familiar with the results said. Kerry's first two policy proposals -- a deficit-reduction plan and tax breaks for corporations -- were timed and tailored to position Kerry as the heir apparent to Clinton's middle-of-the-road fiscal legacy.

His advisers said they were heartened by findings that only a small number considered Kerry a flip-flopper and a liberal -- the very labels Bush has spent millions trying to stick on him. One adviser said participants in focus groups appeared more turned off by negative ads than during previous elections, which contributed to the campaign's decision to run more positive ads in the weeks to come.

The Bush campaign, however, is going exclusively negative on television beginning today, with an ad that calls Kerry "wrong on defense" and mocks his quote about a series of votes in October for spending on Iraq and Afghanistan: "I actually did vote for the $87 billion before I voted against it."

Kerry said his new ad campaign will begin in days, but two aides said a new biographical TV ad with a heavy emphasis on the candidate's military record is not finished and is unlikely to be launched in the next week.

The senator will spend millions of dollars portraying himself as fair-minded, fiscal conservative, strong on defense and veterans issues. A top aide said the ad blitz will cost significantly more than the $2 million per week Kerry has been spending.

A chief aim of the upcoming ad campaign is to convince voters that Kerry is capable of managing world affairs and the war on terrorism as well as, or better than, Bush.

Much as he did during the primary race, Kerry will continue to play up his war-hero image and campaign with fellow veterans of the Vietnam War.

"This isn't going to be any mealy-mouthed . . . you know, namby-pamby campaign," Kerry said.

Staff writer Dan Balz in New York contributed to this report.



To: LindyBill who wrote (39729)4/16/2004 1:11:28 PM
From: Nadine Carroll  Respond to of 793841
 
Kerry tries to move right. Rove was soooo smart to define him early as an eastern liberal.

So smart? He should have been fired had he failed to do something so obvious. If Kerry isn't an eastern liberal, nobody is. Kerry's voting record is more liberal than Ted Kennedy's. That's because Kennedy, though of course an Ur-liberal by inclination, crosses the aisle to put legislation together. I cannot remember any major bill with Kerry's name on it. I can't remember any bill at all with Kerry's name on it, for that matter.