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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wyätt Gwyön who wrote (12298)4/21/2004 8:25:06 AM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
Kind of a scary trend developing here. Note that even after nearly a 50 pbs increase (through last week) in the 30 year mortgage, the purchase index has barely downticked. Now note ARMs activity, 31.7%, folks just won't relent on this speculative moral hazard behavior. That's the highest ARM number I can recall. It's because the one year rate is still stuck in the Land of Oz. Refi activity has been halved in the last month, peaked at 4989 on March 19.

WASHINGTON, D.C. (April 21, 2004)—The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 16. The Market Composite Index of mortgage loan applications-a measure of mortgage loan applications for purchases and refinancings-decreased by 5.6 percent to 744.5 on a seasonally adjusted basis from 788.6 one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased by 5.0 percent compared with last week and was down 27.8 percent compared with the same week one year earlier.

The MBA seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased by 0.4 percent to 434.1 from 432.2 the previous week. The seasonally adjusted Refinance Index decreased by 10.9 percent to 2550.3 from 2861.6 one week earlier. Other seasonally adjusted index activity included the Conventional Index, which decreased 5.8 percent to 1086.2 from 1152.9 the previous week. The Government Index decreased 3.4 percent to 174.4 from 180.6 the previous week.

The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 47.3 percent of total applications from 50.4 percent the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity increased to 31.7 percent of total applications from 29.4 percent the previous week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 5.84 percent from 5.77 percent from one week earlier, with points increasing to 1.36 from 1.33 the previous week (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value (LTV) ratio loans.

The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages increased to 5.16 percent from 5.08 percent one week earlier, with points decreasing to 1.32 from 1.45 the previous week (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans.

The average contract interest rate for one-year ARMs increased to 3.58 percent from 3.53 percent one week earlier, with points increasing to 0.98 from 0.97 from the previous week (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans.