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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: russwinter who wrote (14381)5/24/2004 12:15:21 PM
From: gregor_us  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 110194
 
The Reflation Trade Morphs into the Inflation Trade?

As you can imagine, today is a very, very exciting day for me--seeing the XOI move like that with all the oil majors cranking. A portfolio of Calls is an exciting thing to watch...

So Russ are we seeing the morph, of the previously smacked-down Reflation Trade, into, the Inflation Trade?

What oil, the commodity, would do after this OPEC weekend was a no brainer--but, even I am surprised to see the Oil Majors make their move just now. The capitulation to the upside has finally come? No doubt I am being a tad wishful here?

In my previous posts I've advanced the idea that the Oil majors need visibility on the price of oil. 25,45,39,40....whatever. Any price will do. Just a cessation of the volatility to allow the traders to take a position in the stocks with less fear of a boomerang.

Meanwhile, Gold looks terribly interesting here as well.



To: russwinter who wrote (14381)5/24/2004 4:02:31 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Respond to of 110194
 
so if i'm not mistaken, doesn't today count as an "outside day" to the upside in crude? isn't that supposed to be bullish?

the market just blew off the MoP's Saudi Arabia gambit
maybe it didn't help when their foreign minister or whoever it was called the war in Iraq a "colonial war" about oil -g-.