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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Dayuhan who wrote (51459)	6/24/2004 4:27:25 AM
From: D. Long	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 793800

Well I'm sure you did a fine job of cherrypicking your comments, Steven. I'm not going to wade through months of FADG to find your various nuggets of wisdom. Like the Shiites would rebel swaying to the tune of the Iranian mullahs. Or that Iraq was so hopeless that we surely will just insert a Sunni strongman pulled from the Sunni Army to govern the place. What I do recall is a lot of predictions of ethnic bloodbaths and revenge takings. My recollection was, and some of the posts you quote confirm, that your main concerns where 1. an inability to put together a democratic government 2. an inability of said government to defend against Islamic intifidah against the new regime. So what do we have in Iraq? A pluralist, proto-government of Sunnis, Shiites, and Kurds who have demonstrated their ability to compromise and come to a political settlement - most notably in drafting the provisional law document. Iraqis have been running most Iraqi ministries for months. And outside the Sunni triangle and Al Sadr's thugs, relative quiet. And successful local municipal elections in some places, with secular parties winning majorities. So you move the goalposts to the runup to elections. What will you do when that goes off without a hitch? Move it up to the drafting of the Constitution? Full national elections in 06? Bloodshed on Judgement Day? If it entertains you... Derek